Stock Indexes Reinforcing Late-Nov & Late-Jan Peaks; Prepare for Feb/March Sell-offs.
02/07/25 – “Stock indices remain in the midst of a multi-week congestion period but showing progressive signs of rolling over to the downside on a multi-day & multi-week basis (multi-month basis in some indexes), increasing the potential for an overall decline into March/April 2025.
They fulfilled analysis for a multi-week reactive rally linked to their weekly trend patterns & 4-Shadow signals triggered on January 10/13th. Most of them peaked during the 3rd week and precisely at corresponding upside targets.
The S+P Midcap – which has been leading most reversals since early-October – was projecting a rebound peak on January 22/23rd that would fulfill a 58 – 59 day high (June 3) – high (July 31) – high (Sept 27) – high (Nov 25) – (high; Jan 22/23) Cycle Progression. It topped on January 22nd.
That was forecast to [reserved for subscribers]…
From a price perspective, the DJTA is focused on intermediate support & trend breakdown levels at 15,670 – 15,770/DJTA. That is where the DJTA initially bottomed and retested on February 3rd. It is where the weekly 40 Low MAC and coming week’s 21 Low MARC converge.
It is where monthly support & the monthly trend indicator align. With the DJTA just closing back below its weekly 21 Low MAC, an accelerated decline is becoming more likely.
On a near-term basis, it would take daily closes below the February 3rd lows to turn the new intra-month trends down and project new selling.
On an intermediate basis, they need to give weekly closes below their mid-January lows to exit the intervening trading range and elevate their sell-offs to a higher magnitude.
Stock Indices remain below their January 22 – 24th highs and are increasing the likelihood for a sharp spike down during [reserved for subscribers]… Friday’s reversals lower (outside-day/2 Close Reversals lower in ESH & NQH) ushered in the most vulnerable portion of this latest Danger Zone – from February xx – xx.
This overall correction is still capable of stretching into March/April ‘25 – the convergence of multiple cycles & Cycle Progressions including an 18/19-month low-low-(??) Cycle Progression, a 2-Year Cycle (DJIA peaked in late-Nov ’22 and sold off into March ’23) and an annual cycle that timed intra-year lows in 2020, 2023 & 2024.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK
Stock Indexes are adding corroboration to major peaks projected for, and set precisely on, November 22/25th while simultaneously fulfilling repeatedly-published major upside price targets. That ushered in what was projected to be 3 – 6 month (or longer-lasting) peaks in late-Nov. ’24… and to ultimately lead to major 2025 plunges as part of a major setback in equity markets.
Subsequent/secondary highs – particularly in the S+P Midcap 400 – were projected for ~January 22nd and expected to prepare the way for sharper declines in Feb/March ’25, including a likely March Meltdown and confirmation of a broader stock market (seismic) shift. That is in sync with weekly trend and multi-month 4-Shadow signals triggered on January 10/13th that projected a 2 – 3 week reactive bounce before a much larger stock plunge takes hold. Many indexes peaked precisely on January 22nd!
The 17-Year Cycle projected 4Q 2024 as the most likely time for a major peak in equities – and 2025 as the time for the next major decline. In line with that, the DJIA is already revealing eerie parallels to late-2007/early-2008 and providing a roadmap for future expectations. Cycles and timing indicators are already identifying the next likely time frame when a future sharp sell-off is likely… in (see publications for details).
Do January 22/23rd (Divergent) Highs Reinforce Outlook for ‘March Meltdown’?
How Does Late-Jan/Early-Feb Peak Reinforce 1Q ‘25 Bearish Outlook?
What Do Weekly Trend & 4-Shadow Signals Bode for February/March ‘25?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.