Stock Indexes (& Silver) Projecting Rallies into Late-July ’25.
07-07-25 – “Stock Indices sold off after fulfilling projections for a rally into July 1 – 3rd. That was expected to spur a quick, sharp multi-day sell-off, capable of reaching (at least) weekly HLS levels at 43,812/DJIA, 6207/ESU & 22,339/NQU.
They rallied into July 3rd, fulfilling the most likely week (June 30 – July 3rd) and most likely days (July 1 – 3rd) for the culmination of the latest rally… and the onset of a brief decline.
Based on the weekly trend pattern (reinforced as the DJTA turned its weekly trend up) & related cycles, stocks had/have a higher probability of seeing selling in the current week… followed by a new rally into late-July ’25 that would fulfill a ~35-week high (late-July ‘23) high (late-Mar ’24) – high (late-Nov ’24) – (high; July 27 – 31) Cycle Progression.
[The weekly trend signal is a lagging/confirming one that often coincides with an initial multi-week top and a brief, reactive sell-off.]
That ~35-week cycle is the recurring ~8-month cycle that helped pinpoint April 3rd – 7th as the most likely time for a multi-month bottom… 8 months from the early-August ’24 low. It also helped pinpoint the late-Nov ’24 peak in multiple indexes, fulfilling an ~8-month high (late-Nov ’22) – high (late-July ’23) – high (late-Mar ’24) – (high; late-Nov ’24) Cycle Progression.
An overall rally into late-July ‘25 would fulfill wave symmetry with the culminating rallies – in Aug – Nov ’24 & April – late-July ’25 – each lasting 16 weeks in duration. If an initial high was set this past week, it would also represent a .618 rebound in time. Leading indexes dropped for 19 weeks into their early-April ’25 cycle lows. A peak on July 3rd represents a 12-week rebound (.618 of 19).
From a broader perspective, these continued advances are fulfilling the overall outlook (since April) for many stock indexes to rally from their April 7th lows to new all-time highs (as a result of multiple monthly indicators discussed in April ’25). That price analysis filters and/or supersedes cycle analysis and is being fulfilled.
One of the most important, and most telling, indicators in that analysis is the monthly trend indicator. In most stock indexes, the monthly uptrend turned neutral twice as equities plunged into early-April ’25. They could not reverse those monthly trends down, projecting a subsequent rally to new all-time highs.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes are convincingly fulfilling projections for surges to new all-time highs after confirming multi-month bottoms in early-April ’25 – when they fulfilled major 1 – 2-year downside price targets and related 17-Year Cycle analysis for 2025 (projected 20 – 30+% plunges). A myriad of monthly indicators projected subsequent rallies to new all-time highs – with multi-month cycle highs focused first on late-July ’25 and then on late-2025/early-2026.
Late-July ’25 could produce a multi-week high with subsequent cycle lows converging in the second half of August ’25. Monthly, weekly & daily trend indicators are all positive and are being reinforced by intra-year trends turning up in the S+P 500 & NQ-100.
Silver, Platinum & Palladium fulfilled ongoing forecasts for major lows in early-April, triggering convincing buy signals that were followed by powerful surges. Silver is targeting a rally above 39.50/SI while Platinum is projected to reach ~1500/PL, at a minimum. The XAU & HUI fulfilled projections for rallies into mid-June and are prepping for rallies into August ’25 and above 230.0/XAU.
Why Did/Do Key Indexes Project New All-Time Highs?
How Significant are Late-July ’25 Cycle Highs in Stocks & Silver?
How High Can Stocks Surge After Fulfilling 17-Year Cycle Plunge?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.