Stock Market Nearing Early-June Peak
06/04/16 Weekly Re-Lay:
“Stock Indices remain positive on a 2–3 month basis but neutral on a 2–4 week basis. They fulfilled projections for an intermediate decline from April 19th/20th into May 19th/20th (~90 degrees from the Jan. 20th low) and have rebounded since. That creates the potential for a subsequent high around July 19th/20th – a ~90-degree low-high-(high) Cycle Progression.
And that would be validated by an interim high at the midpoint (~45 degrees) – on June 3rd or 6th – creating a corroborating ~45-degree high-high-(high) Cycle Progression targeted for July 19th/20th. A 50% rebound in time (~30 days down/15 days up) would produce a subsequent peak around June 3rd. A .618 rebound in time could stretch that to June 6th or 7th.
That is corroborated by intermediate cycles in the Russell 2000 (and related Indices) – projecting an intermediate peak in early-June – perpetuating a 6-month/~180-degree cycle that includes a high (monthly close) in June ’14, a high in Dec. ’14 & subsequent highs in June ’15 & Dec. ’15.
A high in early-June would fulfill that Cycle Progression AND complete a larger-degree 50% rebound in time (8 months down/4 months up).
The potential for an intermediate high is bolstered by weekly LHRs – that were tested last week. An ensuing, intermediate peak usually takes hold within 1–3 weeks. In the ideal scenario, a high would take hold without daily closes above 17,891/DJIA and 7830/DJTA.
1–3 & 3–6 month traders & investors could have re-entered the short side of Stock Indices at 17,912–17,934/DJIA, 2077.5–2098.75/ESM & 4378–4513/NQM – and can [reserved for subscribers only]….”
Considering expectations for an impending high, a sharp 2–3 week drop into late-June and a subsequent peak around July 19th/20th, the June 23rd UK vote on Brexit could play a key role. See the June 2016 INSIIDE Track (and related Trader’s World article) for analysis on 8-Year Cycle and why it portends another bashing of the British Pound – in 2016. Could this put another scare into global equity markets… and spur a sharper drop in late-2016?