Stock Market Wave Structure & Monthly Indicators Portend New Multi-Month Surge!
04/19/25 – Stock indexes fulfilled the 3 – 6 month outlook for 20 – 25% (or larger) declines into early-April and have since consolidated above their April 7th lows. Those lows also fulfilled a myriad of daily, weekly & monthly cycles converging on April 3 – 7th, reinforcing the outlook for a multi-week bottom…
Stock Indices appear to be tracing out a bottom with the S+P Midcap 400 & Russell 2000 remaining resilient during Thursday’s DJIA drop and Wednesday’s tech sell-off.
Since the April 7th low and subsequent rally, the S+P 500 remains in the upper third of the rebound range while the DJIA & NQ-100 are near their respective midpoints… managing to hold half or more of recent gains. The longer the April 7th lows hold, the more significant they become.
That low came immediately after stock indexes fulfilled the 3 – 6 month outlook for 20 – 25+% declines into early-April – the minimum downside projections related to the 17-Year Cycle…
Those lows took hold in lockstep with a myriad of timing indicators projecting sell-offs into April 3 – 7th and a low at that time. That included a ~9-week/~2-month high-high-high-high-(low; April 1 – 7) Cycle Progression and the ubiquitous ~8-month cycle from the Aug 5, ’24 low.
In the S+P 500, that ~8-month cycle (same cycle that projected the IDX Nov 22/25, ’24 peak) split into a symmetrical ~4-month/123-day low (Aug 5) – high (Dec 6) – (low; April 4/7th) cycle, reinforcing its significance.
In setting recent lows, the S&P Midcap 400 & Russell 2000 plunged to decisive range-trading targets while the more bearish DJTA plummeted 30% into early-April cycle lows. The S+P Midcap also matched the magnitude of its 2020 decline (~900+ points) – the largest drop in its history.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK
Stock Indexes are reinforcing developing bottoms after plunging into decisive cycle lows in early-April ’25 (April 3, 4 & 7th possessed greatest synergy of cycles for completing 20 – 30% projected plunges) while fulfilling major downside price targets and 17-Year Cycle analysis for 2025.
Their monthly trend patterns, monthly 21 MACs & MARCs, monthly (and weekly) cycles, monthly downside objectives & 6 – 12 month support levels all argue for powerful rallies that could catapult key indexes up to new all-time highs. The (perceived) multi-year wave structure is the same.
Metals are corroborating as Silver (along with Platinum & Palladium) fulfilled ongoing forecasts for major lows in early-April… followed by powerful surges. Meanwhile, Gold just pulled back to support and rallied into the current time period – the days surrounding April 19th (Date of Aggression) – and is expected to set a 2 – 3 month peak at that time.
Why is April 4th/7th Bottom Likely To Spur Rallies to New All-Time Highs?
How are Monthly Trend & Monthly 21 MACs Reinforcing Projected Lows?
Which Indexes are Most Likely to Rally Back to Their Highs?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.