Stocks Poised for Rebound After Attacking Multi-Month Downside Targets During March 12/13th Cycle Low!
03/14/25 – “Stock indices dropped sharply into mid-March with multiple indexes reaching multi-month downside targets while bottoming in sync with daily & weekly cycle lows surrounding March 12/13th…
They fulfilled most of what was expected from these latest declines – stemming from the February 18th highs and related sell signals. The S+P Midcap 400 attacked its 3 – 6 month downside target (2850/IDX) on March 13, setting the stage for a quick rebound.
That came exactly 2 months from the Jan 13th low and fulfilled an uncanny range-trading target – discussed in late-Nov/early-Dec ’24 – and also a form of ‘4th wave of lesser degree’ support, increasing the likelihood for a multi-week low to take hold.
[Related charts – detailing this range-trading downside target were published in Nov & Dec ’24 INSIIDE Tracks & Weekly Re-Lays.]
That also had the IDX reaching the point where this latest decline – from the Feb 18/19th peak – equaled 1.272 (2DGR) times the magnitude of the initial late–Nov-through-mid-January decline – the initial downside target for a decline that is part of a developing bear market.
A low on March 13/14th also had the NQ-100 fulfilling a .618 retracement in time (19 weeks up, 12 weeks down) and a related ~31-week/~7-month low-low-(low) Cycle Progression… as the IDX completed successive ~7-week declines.
At the same time, the DJTA fulfilled its outside-week/2 Close Reversal sell signal – and textbook weekly 21 MAC Reversal sequence – both generated on Feb 18 – 21st. In setting this low, the DJTA completed a .618 retracement in time (24 wks up/14 – 15 wks down).
This could spur a quick rally to key levels like [reserved for subscribers]…
From a much broader perspective, a few other cyclic factors should be reiterated:
2025 is a full 17-Year Cycle from the last major decline in the stock market (not including the ~2-month Covid plunge of 1Q 2020).
2025 is a full 17-Year Cycle from the inception of Bitcoin… a market that has exhibited a close connection to specific stock indexes.
2025/2026 is a full 17-Year Cycle from the last significant recession in the US… and has been projected (since 2023) to time the next major recession – making this cycle accurate 13 of the 14 times it has recurred since the founding of America (1940/1941 was the only exception).
2025/26 has been forecast, for the past two years, to trigger the second major wave of stagflation in the US (linked to diverse cycles) – a topic that is suddenly being discussed in economic circles (cycles and technical analysis usually identify these things long before the fundamentals become obvious).
2025 is two full 17-Year Cycles from the start of the 1990’s bull market in stocks – a run-up that culminated with the dot-com bubble in the late-1990’s. It (2025) was/is the time for culmination of the latest bull market.
2025 is three full 17-Year Cycles from the start of the late-20th century bull market in stocks that began in 1974, had a major correction at its midpoint (1987), and peaked in early-2000. It (2025) was/is the time for culmination of the latest bull market.
2025 is 7 full 17-Year Cycles from the stock market peak of January 1906, which was followed by the Panic of 1907 and a ~2-year decline of 50% (which looks remarkably similar in magnitude & duration to the 1973/1974 ~50% crash).
All of that, and much more, reinforces the impact of the 17-Year Cycle – a cycle that is intimately connected to the magnetic swings in the Sun, Earth and the geomagnetic oscillations between the two.
From a much broader perspective, there are some unusual (though limited) parallels between the current markets and a key aspect of the 1920’s and a different (key) aspect of the 1990’s. This was discussed in the Feb 19 & 26, ’25 Weekly Re-Lay Alerts and in the March ’25 INSIIDE Track.
If a 1 – 2 month low is set in the March/April time frame (most synergistic convergence of cycles is in late-March/early-April ’25), it would add another level of corroboration to future cycles bottoming in July ’25 [reserved for subscribers].” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK
Stock Indexes fulfilled projections for sharp plunges into March 12/13th when a multi-week low was projected to be most likely. That was/is expected to add confirmation of a broader stock market (seismic) shift – validating weekly trend and multi-month 4-Shadow signals triggered in January (portending a larger-magnitude sell-off after January 22/23rd).
Downside targets near 2850/IDX, 14,600/DJTA & 2000/QRM were tested and should usher in a multi-week low and rebound. Weekly extreme downside targets (HLS levels) in multiple indexes were reached – the ideal level for a multi-week bottom.
The 17-Year Cycle projected 4Q 2024 as the most likely time for a major (multi-month & multi-quarter) peak in equities – and 2025 as the time for the next major decline in stocks. It also continues to project a recession AND stagflation in 2025/2026. Corroborating that, the DJIA is revealing eerie parallels to late-2007/early-2008 and providing a roadmap for future expectations.
Have 2 – 3 Month Downside Targets & March 12/13th Cycle Lows Ushered in Multi-Week Low?
How High (and How Long) Could Subsequent Rebound Reach?
Did Indexes Bottom at Multi-Month Targets (2850/IDX, 14,600/DJTA, 2000/QR, etc.)?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.