Stocks Portending Major 1Q ‘25 Sell-off & Potential ‘March Meltdown’!
02/01/25 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling their January 10/13th weekly trend and related 4-Shadow signals – both of which projected multi-week lows to take hold and trigger 1 – 3 week reactive rallies. A majority of the primary indexes were projected to top on January 22/23d and have initially fulfilled that – ushering in another 1 – 3 week ‘challenging’ period….
Stock indices are in the midst of a multi-week congestion period, having fulfilled expectations for a 1 – 3 week reactive rally linked to their weekly trend patterns & 4-Shadow signals triggered on January 10/13th.
Most indexes rallied to monthly resistance levels by/on January 24th – the upside targets for their intra-month uptrends – as they fulfilled intermediate cycles.
The S+P Midcap – which has been leading most reversals since early-October – was projecting a rebound peak on January 22/23rd that would fulfill a 58 – 59 day high (June 3) – high (July 31) – high (Sept 27) – high (Nov 25) – (high; Jan 22/23) Cycle Progression. It topped on January 22nd.
A peak on January 22nd – the ideal scenario – was forecast to ‘likely trigger a decline into the middle half of February ’25’.
The Russell 2000 also peaked on Jan 22nd but waited for its daily 40 High MAC (the final upside target for a larger-magnitude upside correction) to catch up before spurring new selling. That took place on Friday.
And the Transports (DJTA), as described last week, spiked up to their weekly 21 High MAC while rebounding 50% and attacking a multi-week range-trading target and then plunged, triggering an outside-week/2 Close Reversal lower…
Stock Indices likely completed their prospective 2 – 3 week reactive rallies, triggered on January 10/13th. The ideal time for a peak – in the leading IDX, RUT, DJTA & NQ-100 indexes – was Jan 22/23rd, which was fulfilled by all of them.
The first half of February is a decisive time…” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK
Stock Indexes are adding corroboration to major peaks projected for late-Nov ’24 – set on November 22/25th while fulfilling repeatedly-published cycles and major upside price targets. That ushered in what was projected to be 3 – 6 month (or longer-lasting) peaks in late-Nov. ’24… and to ultimately lead to major 2025 plunges as part of a major setback in equity markets.
Subsequent highs – particularly in the S+P Midcap 400 – were projected for ~January 22nd and expected to prepare the way for sharper declines in Feb/March ’25, including a likely March Meltdown and confirmation of a broader stock market (seismic) shift. That is in sync with weekly trend and multi-month 4-Shadow signals triggered on January 10/13th that projected a 2 – 3 week reactive bounce before a much larger stock plunge takes hold. Many indexes peaked precisely on January 22nd!
The 17-Year Cycle projected 4Q 2024 as the most likely time for a major peak in equities – and 2025 as the time for the next major decline. In line with that, the DJIA is already revealing eerie parallels to late-2007/early-2008 and providing a roadmap for future expectations. Cycles and timing indicators are already identifying the next likely time frame when a future sharp sell-off is likely… in (see publications for details).
Do January 22/23rd (Divergent) Highs Reinforce Outlook for ‘March Meltdown’?
How Does Late-Jan/Early-Feb Peak Reinforce 1Q ‘25 Bearish Outlook?
What Do Weekly Trend & 4-Shadow Signals Bode for February/March ‘25?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.