Stocks Reinforce Multi-Week Sell Signals; Project Late-Feb/early-March Plunges!

02/22/25 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling the outlook for a new decline to take hold this past week (after fulfilling multiple weekly trend signals) and likely accelerate lower – into early-March.  The S+P Midcap, Russell 2000 & DJTA continue to validate their late-November peaks and lead the way lower as the S+P 500 & NQ-100 corroborated with this past week’s action…

Stock Indices remain in the midst of multi-month trading ranges while showing progressive signs of topping (in leading/weaker indexes) and rolling over to the downside. On balance, the ensuing declines could last into late-March/early-April ’25.

An intervening decline could produce an initial multi-week low on [reserved for subscribers]...

The S+P Midcap – which has been leading most reversals since early-October – peaked in perfect lockstep with cycles topping on January 22/23rd as it fulfilled a 58 – 59 day high-high-high-(high; Jan 22/23) Cycle Progression

The S+P 500 powerfully validated expectations for a reversal lower this past week.  It had twice neutralized its weekly downtrend as of Feb 14th – pinpointing Feb 18 – 21st as the ideal (textbook) time for a spike high and reversal lower.

That is exactly what took place with the S+P 500 (and other indexes) triggering a weekly 2 Close Reversal lower in the process.

At the same time, the NQ-100 cash index finally spiked to new highs – fulfilling its weekly trend indicator (the only one that had stayed positive) and pinpointing the time for a new multi-week top.  Meanwhile, the DJTA triggered an outside-week/2 Close Reversal lower and the next phase of a textbook weekly 21 MAC Reversal sequence.                 

Stock Indices plunged into Feb 21st – fulfilling near-term cycles and reinforcing unfolding declines that are likely to stretch into [reserved for subscribers].”    TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK


Stock Indexes have entered a time of expected coincident bearishness where all the indexes are signaling 2 – 4 week drops with acceleration lower still forecast for March ’25.  They are confirming the major peaks projected for Nov 22/25, 2024 (in S+P Midcap 400 & related indexes) and the subsequent/secondary highs  projected for ~January 22nd.

That was/is expected to prepare the way for sharper declines into March ’25 and confirmation of a broader stock market (seismic) shift.  That would validate weekly trend and multi-month 4-Shadow signals triggered on January 10/13th.  Coinciding with that, Bitcoin projected a major peak for January 2025 and is signaling a sharp drop into late-Feb/early-March ’25.

The 17-Year Cycle projected 4Q 2024 as the most likely time for a major (multi-month and multi-quarter) peak in equities – and 2025 as the time for the next major decline.  It also continues to project a recession AND stagflation in 2025/2026.  Corroborating that, the DJIA is revealing eerie parallels to late-2007/early-2008 and providing a roadmap for future expectations.

 

What are Parallels – AND Contrasts – Between 1920’s, 1990’s & 2020’s?

How Would Late-Feb/Early-March Plunges in Equities & Cryptos Reinforce Connections?

Why Do Weekly Trend & 4-Shadow Signals Cast Shadows Ahead for Stocks in 2025?

 

Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.