Stocks Reinforcing Early-April (Multi-Month) Cycle Low After Fulfilling Projected 17-Year Cycle Plunge!
04/11/25 – “Stock Indices took another pause with several indexes again trading in ‘inside days’ when compared to April 10th (lower highs and higher lows than the previous day). In doing so, they are slowly adding credence to their early-April cycle lows.
On April 7th, they culminated their latest decline in dramatic fashion, reinforcing the impact of the 90/10 Rule of Cycles (in which a majority of a price move occurs at the end of a cycle).
Since the start of 2025, the focus has been on March/April – more specifically on late-March/early-April ’25 – as the most likely time for the culmination of multi-month stock plunges.
As described in February & March, stocks had a high potential to fulfill (minimum) 17-Year Cycle projections – for 20 – 25% declines – by/in April ’25 when an initial bottom was/is most likely.
That is the minimum fulfillment of 17-Year Cycle projections, mirroring sell-offs in previous phases of that 17-Year Cycle (2007-2009, 1990, 1973-1974, 1956-1957, 1939-1940, etc.).
On a monthly chart basis, they also traced out the ideal sequence for a multi-month low. That was corroborated by a myriad of timing indicators focused on April 3 – 7, including a ~9-week/~2-month high-high-high-high-(low; April 1 – 7) Cycle Progression – in the DJIA & other indexes – and the ubiquitous ~8-month cycle from the August 5, ’24 low.
In the S+P 500, that ~8-month cycle (same cycle that projected the IDX Nov 22/25, ’24 peak) split into a symmetrical ~4-month/123-day low (Aug 5) – high (Dec 6) – (low; April 4/7th) cycle. The DJTA also completed a 2DGR retracement on April 3/4th while fulfilling the potential for the longest decline since 2022 (4-Shadow signal).
In setting recent lows, the S&P Midcap 400 & Russell 2000 plunged to decisive range-trading targets while the DJTA, described as being in a more bearish setup, was projected to see a larger decline and reached the 30% decline threshold in sync with those early-April cycle lows.
By setting new intra-year lows during the month of April, stocks have also fulfilled the potential to reinforce future cycles [reserved for subscribers]” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK
Stock Indexes plunged into decisive cycle lows in early-April ’25 (April 3, 4 & 7th possessed greatest synergy of cycles for completing 20 – 30% projected plunges) while fulfilling major downside price targets. This is confirmation of weekly trend and multi-month 4-Shadow signals triggered in January and corresponding sell signals triggered on/after January 22/23rd and should usher in a multi-month bottom.
This drop into early-April completes the initial 17-Year Cycle decline projected for 2025 and ushers in the potential for a rally back to all-time highs in key stock indexes.
Metals are corroborating as Silver (along with Platinum & Palladium) fulfilling ongoing forecasts for major lows in early-April… followed by powerful surges. Meanwhile, Gold just pulled back to support and is projecting a surge into the days surrounding April 19th (Date of Aggression) along with the XAU & HUI. Gold is expected to set a 2 – 3 month peak at that time.
What Does April 4th/7th Bottom Portend for Rest of 2025?
Why are Monthly Trend & Monthly 21 MACs Reinforcing Potential Lows?
Which Indexes are Most Likely to Rally Back to Highs?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.