Soybeans, Sunspots & Solar Cycles…
01/02/16 INSIIDE Track: Outlook 2016–2017
40-Year Cycle & Food Crises V
40-Year Cycle & Food Crises
2019: The Synergy of Soybeans, Sunspots & Solar Cycles
The year of 2016 is expected to be – based on a myriad of cycles as well as long-term wave structure, technical indicators, etc. – a kind of launch pad from which a new inflationary period will commence. In Gold & Silver, 2016 is expected to time the first 3+-month advance since 2012.
In Grains, 2016 could be similar – timing an initial advance that reverses the monthly trend back up and confirms a multi-year low… while also acting as a precursor to a more significant advance in 2017–2019.
Other food commodities, like Coffee, have similar potential for sharp advances in the coming years (see pgs. 10–11).
Before delving into the long-term commodity cycles that corroborate that outlook, it is beneficial to quickly recap the related natural cycles that coincide with this potential…
As detailed last month, 2019 is a convergence of sunspot & solar storm cycles (including 30 years from the 1989 storm and 160 years – 4 of the 40-Year Cycles – from the 1859 Carrington Event).
2019 is also the next phase of a 68-Year Cycle (4 – 17-Year Cycles, 3 – ~22.5 Year Solar Polar Cycles & 6 – ~11.2 Year Sunspot Cycles) that precisely links 3 of the most powerful & deadly volcanoes of the past 200 years (Tambora in 1815 to Krakatoa in 1883 to Lamington in 1951… to Indonesia? in 2019).
Of related interest, Rinjani – which is believed to be the source of the largest eruption in the last ~5,000 years and is thought to have triggered the cooling that ultimately ushered in the Little Ice Age – enters a new 40-Year Cycle in 2017/2018 (1257/1258–2017/2018) and appears to have recently come back to life.
There are also climate/warming cycles that appear headed for a climax in the coming years (2017–2020). So, if all these cycles were close to being accurate, Earth could see a final warming spike in 2016/2017 (–2019?) and then experience some subsequent cooling if one or more large volcanoes erupt in the late-2010’s.
2019 is also the culmination of a 15–15.75 year cycle in Soybeans that connects the highs of June 1973, June 1988 & March 2004. That would be expected to produce a high – the next phase in a 15–15.75 year high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression – between June 2018–Dec. 2019.
While that is a very broad period of time – and would NOT be used for actual trading purposes – it does provide a backdrop for expectations… and a strong affirmation of all the related natural, climate & earth cycles converging in 2019 (+ or – 1–2 years).
On a wave-related basis, Soybeans have experienced three successive advances since their mid-1999 multi-decade bottom. Each of those advances lasted 4–4.75 years, with the 2nd & 3rd ones lasting just under 4 years each… AND each of those beginning in 4Q (Nov. 2004 & Dec. 2008).
If Soybeans bottomed in Nov. 2015 – as had been expected – a similar ~4-year advance would take them higher into 4Q 2019.
Similarly, a sunspot-related ~11-Year Cycle – that separates the 4Q 1975 low, 3Q 1986 low, 2Q 1997 high & 3Q 2008 high (~11-Year low-low-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression) – next comes into play in 3Q/4Q 2019. A high in 3Q/4Q 2019 would complete a 44-year advance, 33-year advance, 22-year high-high cycle & 11-year high-high cycle – all in synch with the ~11-Year Sunspot Cycle.
Interestingly, each of those previous turning points occurred near the low of the corresponding Solar Cycle (#21, 22, 23 & 24). The end of Solar Cycle 24 – and beginning of Solar Cycle 25 – could occur in 2019 and corroborate this uncanny cycle in Soybeans. More on this topic and these cycles throughout 2016…”
Soybean, Sunspot & Solar Cycles reinforce Food Crisis Cycles and project a challenging period in 2016–2019… potentially carrying over into 2021. As detailed elsewhere in this same publication, Golden Year Cycles & inflationary cycles are reinforcing this analysis – projecting an initial ~6-month surge in the first half of 2016, similar to what is forecast for Soybeans (initial surge from Nov./Dec. 2015 into mid-2016 and potentially above 1200.0/S) – before 6–12 month (possibly 1–2 year) peaks take hold.
See corresponding INSIIDE Track issues & Reports for related analysis on the potential for El Nino-related flooding to complicate matters and add new stressors to crop production in California & South America… as well as other regions around the globe.