Preparing for Major Shifts in 2021 – 2025
Preparing for Major Shifts in 2021 - 2025
01/04/24 – “Equities rallied from cycle lows in late-October, initially fulfilling the outlook for overall advances (from late-2022 & early-2023) into Jan/Feb 2024 – when a more significant peak is expected. 3 – 6 month peaks are expected in this time frame as multi-year cycles begin to pave the way for another significant sell-off in 2024/2025… On a 1 – 2 year basis, the DJIA […]
Read more01/04/24 – “Stock Indices have sold off in the opening days of January after the NQ-100 (and others) fulfilled its ~2-month cycle and surged from October 26/27th into December 27th. Some indexes – like the DJIA – set a new high on January 2nd (similar to 2022), initially fulfilling the 2 – 3 month outlook. That is why the new intra-month trend is a critical filter. If […]
Read more01-04-24 – “The ramifications of 2020’s pandemic continue to reverberate through the global economy. Even though many things appear to have ‘returned to normal’ (whatever ‘normal’ is), there are many others that keep reacting and re-reacting to the consequences of that massive global disruption. Various inflation gauges are producing dramatically-divergent conclusions. It often depends on ’which’ inflation someone is focused on. For example, the Goldman […]
Read more01/03/24 – “January 2 – 4, 2024 marks the opening range of the month, as well as the opening days (though not the complete opening range) of the quarter and year. As such, there are certain expectations surrounding these opening days (see page 2 for a couple of those) and what occurs after them. As repeatedly warned, many markets will start a new period with […]
Read more01/03/24 – “January 2 – 4, 2024 marks the opening range of the month, as well as the opening days (though not the complete opening range) of the quarter and year. As such, there are certain expectations surrounding these opening days (see page 2 for a couple of those) and what occurs after them. As repeatedly warned, many markets will start a new period […]
Read more12/30/23 – “Stock indexes rallied into year-end and are expected to advance into the middle half of January ’24 and fulfill/complete the signals generated in late-October. A more substantial sell-off should follow… Stock Indices remain on track for an overall rally from late-October ’23 into January ’24 – when a more significant top is still expected. That has been the focus throughout this entire period… and […]
Read more12/26/23 – “Stock indexes have hesitated since rallying into ~mid-Dec ’23 and fulfilling the latest phase of their 4Q 2023 ‘roadmap’. That set the stage for a 1 – 2 week top, which could still extend into year-end. Weekly LHRs, .618 rebounds and a 20 – 21-week high (Dec ’21) – low (May ’22) – low (Oct ’22) – low (Mar ’23) – high […]
Read more12/26/23 – “The Dollar Index set its lowest daily close (since early-August) on December 26th, initially fulfilling the latest phase of its ~4-week cycle and the reinforcing ~24-week low-low-low-(low; Dec 26 – 29, ’23) Cycle Progression that portends an impending bottom. This is also the second week after the Dollar Index tested and held its weekly HLS, an indicator that projects a 1 – 2 month low in the ensuing […]
Read more12/20/23 – “Stock indexes rallied into mid-Dec ’23, fulfilling the latest phase of their 4Q 2023 ‘roadmap’ and setting the stage for a 1 – 2 week top. Ultimately, they are still expected to rally into Jan ’24, fulfilling the outlook that has been intact since setting lows in late-October. A high in January ’24 would fulfill their late-October buy signals, a myriad of […]
Read more12/20/23 – “The Dollar Index remains capable of extending the latest decline into the next phase of its ~4-week cycle in late-Dec ’23. That is also when a ~24-week low-low-low-(low; Dec 26 – 29, ’23) Cycle Progression would mature. Corroborating that, the Dollar Index tested and held its weekly HLS (102.18/DXH) last week, portending a 1 – 2 month low in the ensuing 1 – 2 weeks. That should also be […]
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