Tag: 2-Year Cycle

04-04-26 – “Stock indexes fulfilled the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following multi-year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26.  Both the weekly trends & weekly 21 MACs created negative (multi-month) signals that were likely to lead to initial multi-week lows around March 30th… Stock Indices stretched their declines into late-March/early-April ’26 – the ideal period for a multi-week low to take hold – the […]

04-01-26 – 2026 & The Inflation Quagmire II – “Energy prices and the GSCI powerfully fulfilled expectations for 1Q ’26 while convincingly validating the outlook for Jan ’26 – April ’27.  That is when the latest inflationary stage had been forecast to unfold. The tricky part is that this is occurring while interest rates are already historically high (for this century), while the Dollar […]

03-30-26 – “Stock Indices are fulfilling the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following multi-year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26.  Both the weekly trends & weekly 21 MACs generated negative (multi-month) signals and could lead to initial multi-week lows in the current time frame. They have stretched their declines into the late-March/early-April ’26 time frame – the ideal ~2-week period for a 1 – […]

03-28-26 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following multi-year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26.  Both the weekly trends & weekly 21 MACs generated negative (multi-month) signals and could lead to initial multi-week lows in either of the next two weeks… Stock Indices have stretched their declines into the late-March/early-April ’26 time frame – the ideal ~2-week period for […]

03-25-26 – 2026 & The Inflation Quagmire – “The price of oil (gasoline) is a tax on almost every basic commodity.  It factors into production (including food & agricultural markets), distribution & shipping.  Normal swings in the price of energy are either absorbed (by the seller), hidden, or passed along outright to the consumer.  Each of those approaches has its own ramifications down the line. In […]

03-21-26 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following multi-year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26.  Both the weekly trends & weekly 21 MACs have generated negative (multi-month) signals and could see a pair of lows… before this intermediate decline is complete… Stock Indices are fulfilling the outlook for another large sell-off after peaking in lockstep with 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions that had […]

03-18-26 – The Rule of Alternation: Stock Market Declines II – “Over the past two decades, stock indexes have suffered repeated multi-month declines that mostly adhered to a version of Elliott’s ‘Rule of Alternation’ – in which successive ‘corrections’ do not usually follow the same corrective pattern. Most recently, the early-2020 & early-2024 declines were quick, sharp plunges that were brief. Surrounding those were the […]

03-14-26 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling the outlook for a much larger sell-off (than seen in recent months)… The weekly 21 MACs are turning down (in DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100) but need to be confirmed by weekly trends turning down.  An initial low is likely on March 16/17th, particularly if some exhaustive (‘blow-off’) selling is seen… Stock Indices fulfilled the latest phase of projected declines, […]

03-11-26 – “Over the past two decades, stock indexes have suffered multiple multi-month sell-offs that have mostly adhered to a version of Elliott’s ‘Rule of Alternation’ – in which successive ‘corrections’ do not usually follow the same corrective pattern. This will be elaborated in a future INSIIDE Track, but consider how the 2015/2016 & 2011 sell-offs contrasted the 2007 – 2009 decline.  Then there was the […]

03-07-26 – “Stock indexes continue to trace out a topping phase that has been led by the NQ-100 (which peaked in late-Oct ’25).  That was/is expected to trigger a much larger sell-off (than what was seen in recent weeks) leading into mid-March ’26, which is currently unfolding.  The weekly 21 MACs are turning down (in DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100) but need to be confirmed by […]