Interest Rates: Bonds Fulfilling 4Q ’19 Sell-off; July ’20 = Major Cycle Peak

Outlook 2019/2020: The ~11-Year Cycle – Part II 09-30-19 – Late-Aug./early-Sept. ’19 ushered in a transition phase on so many levels, its significance should not be underestimated… For starters, there was the stock market.  Since 2017, a primary focus has been on 3Q ’19 – ideally on late-Aug. ’19 – for the culmination of another sharp sell-off… Then there were precious metals.  They […]

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Interest Rates: Bonds Signal 4Q ’19 Sell-off; July ’20 = Major Cycle Peak

Outlook 2019/2020 – A Tale of Two Cycles 08-30-19 – Bonds & Notes rallied for the first half of their latest ~90-degree cycle after bottoming in mid-July while perpetuating a 13 – 14 week low-low-low Cycle Progression.  (The next phase comes into play in late-Oct. ‘19.) That has brought them to an annual period (late-Aug./early-Sept.) that has timed the onset of intermediate declines […]

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DJIA Triggers Sell Signals; NQ At Upside Targets & Cycle High.

DJIA Triggers Sell Signals; NQ At Upside Targets & Cycle High. 06/20/18 Weekly Re-Lay Alert – Buy the Rumor… ???:  “A well-known trading adage advises ‘Buy the Rumor, Sell the News’ – summarizing the principle that markets are driven by expectations (as opposed torealizations).  When an expectation takes hold, traders pile in to a specific market in anticipation of the […]

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DJIA Reaches ~25,300 Target; Peak Imminent; ~7300/NQ Still Attainable.

DJIA Reaches ~25,300 Target; Peak Imminent; ~7300/NQ Still Attainable. 06/13/18 Weekly Re-Lay Alert:  Stock Indices continue to forge ahead – rallying from multi-month cycle lows in late-March 2018 into multi-month cycle highs in late-June/early-July.  This latest advance, however, has been far more labored, uncertain and drawn out than previous advances… A peak in the coming weeks would fulfill the latest […]

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DJIA Rally Waning; NQ-100 Poised to Test ~7300.

DJIA Rally Waning; NQ-100 Poised to Test ~7300. 06/06/18 Weekly Re-Lay Alert – Overriding Cycles:  Stock Indices have steadily moved higher since their early-April lows but remain in congestion with the next multi-month peak expected in late-June/early-July.  The Nasdaq 100 has just fulfilled its related, primary objective by retesting its intra-year high. A peak in the coming weeks would fulfill […]

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NQ-100 Reinforcing May 23 Buy Signal; Rally into mid-June Likely.

NQ-100 Reinforcing May 23 Buy Signal; Rally into mid-June Likely. 05/30/18 Weekly Re-Lay Alert:  Stock Indices remain in congestion with the next multi-month peak expected in late-June/early-July – the latest phase of the ~5-month low-low-low-low-high-(high) Cycle Progression.  That is also the midpoint of the latest ~10-month cycle – both of which meet again in late-Nov./early-Dec. 2018. As equities trade through […]

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NQ-100 Confirming Strength & May 23 Buy Signal.

NQ-100 Confirming Strength & May 23 Buy Signal. 05/26/18 Weekly Re-Lay:  Stock Indices have consolidated since fulfilling their latest rally expectations.  The Nasdaq 100 remains in the most positive structure and could see a new spike high in the coming week and an ultimate retest of its intra-year high… Stock Indices remain in congestion with the next multi-month peak expected […]

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