Tag: Drought/Flood Cycles

Outlook 2023 – A Pair of Parallels 11-29-22 –  Last month, we examined one of the two remaining (yet)-unfulfilled parallels between 2022 – 2023 and 1973 – 1974… The other (yet)-unfulfilled parallel is a Middle East war or conflict (similar to the Yom Kippur War of 1973).  This is a topic that has been discussed many times before – with focus on 2023, the […]

Outlook 2022/2023 – The Curse 10-29-22 – Climate Cycles In the mid-2010’s, INSIIDE Track described a convergence of longer-term climate cycles portending a culminating global warming in the late-2010’s and early-2020’s – leading into a multi-year peak.  [NOTE: I am NOT a climatologist or meteorologist.  This conjecture is simply based on cycle analysis.] After a couple decades of fairly level global temperatures, the […]

09-30-22 – “Soybeans, Corn & Wheat are mixed (remaining in congestion) with Soybeans confirming a top as Corn & Wheat remain in the upper percentiles of their 1 – 2 month trading ranges.  In the case of Soybeans, the weekly trend (down) and wave structure (corrective wave after 5-wave advance) argue for another decline that would likely take them down to […]

Outlook 2022/2023 – Inflation Energy Peaking? 08-31-22 – Throughout the past 8 – 10 months, a lot of focus has been placed on a powerful convergence of cycles in Sept ‘22… Sept/Oct ‘22 (greatest synergy in Sept ‘22) is the latest phase of the 15 – 16-Month Cycle in Crude and Energy markets and could time a culminating peak… Soybeans, Corn & Wheat have initially fulfilled analysis for a multi-month […]

Outlook 2022/2023 – Mid-Year Review II 07-28-22 – The current time frame – from mid-June stock index cycle lows until ~mid-Sept ‘22 cycle highs (in stocks, metals, and other markets) – remains a pivotal time, not only on an intra-year basis but also on an intra-decade basis.  To reiterate from last issue:   “In order to prepare for the second half […]

07-13-22 – Today’s CPI report reinforced, yet again, that inflation is alive and well in the US economy.  It is, however, entering a decisive time frame when a peak has long been forecast – in 3Q ‘22.  That precise peak could be seen in CPI or PPI or other measures of commodity price inflation (GSCI, etc.) but the important factor is that the time frame for […]

Outlook 2022/2023 – Mid-Year Review 06-29-22 – In order to prepare for the second half of 2022 and all of 2023, it is crucial to review what was anticipated for this time period – and the months or years leading up to it – as well as what has transpired in the first six months of 2022. On a 6 – 12 month basis, Nov […]