Solar Cycle 25: Earth Instability on the Rise… Eruptions Begin.

Outlook 2023 – A Pair of Parallels

11-29-22 –  Last month, we examined one of the two remaining (yet)-unfulfilled parallels between 2022 – 2023 and 1973 – 1974… The other (yet)-unfulfilled parallel is a Middle East war or conflict (similar to the Yom Kippur War of 1973).  This is a topic that has been discussed many times before – with focus on 2023, the recurrence of multiple cycles including a 25-Year & 50-Year Cycle that impacts Israel and/or the Middle East.

The 50-Year Cycle includes 1973 (Yom Kippur War) and 1923 (carving up of the Middle East with the Palestine Mandate from the San Remo Conference and the Treaty of Lausanne with Turkey).

The 25-Year Cycle includes the 50YC events AND a series of events in 1998 (‘Islam getting the bomb’, ‘Jerusalem declared as the eternal capital of Israel’, etc.), in 1948 (Israel becoming a nation; immediate attacks on Israel) & 1898 (Zionist Congress).

The Sunspot/War Cycle

2023 is also the latest phase of a frequently-discussed Middle East War Cycle that is closely tied to the ~11.2-Year Sunspot Cycle.  It includes:

1956 – Suez Crisis

1967 – Six Days War

1978/79 – Camp David/Islamic Revolution

1990 – Persian Gulf War I

2001 – 9/11 & resulting Iraqi War

2012 – Syria Civil War/Rise of ISIL

2023 – ????

Climate/Solar/Volcanic Cycles

For many years, 2022 – 2024 has been discussed with regard to Solar & Volcanic cycles – most notably analysis for a major solar storm in 2023 (see below) and a steady increase of volcanic activity – partially linked to the Sunspot Cycle – in 2022 – 2024.

2022 quickly validated this outlook with a major volcanic eruption – the largest of the 21st century and largest since Pinatubo in 1991 – at the Hunga volcano in Tonga… triggering tsunamis around that part of the globe. It was estimated this eruption was on the scale of the deadly 1883 eruption of Krakatoa (another volcano with cycles recurring in 2023/24).

It appears as though Mauna Loa is joining in the chorus, entering a new eruptive phase on Nov 27.

2022 – ‘24 is 120 years from a pair of eruptions in 1903, 80 years from a major eruption in 1942 (a few months after the attack on Pearl Harbor) and 40 years from its last major eruption in 1984… after which it entered its longest period of dormancy in recorded history.  It is erupting along with Kilauea – a joint eruption not seen in almost 40 years…

The other is an earth disturbance cycle that often has greater impact on the Middle East (Alpide Belt)… and has timed major earth events (2003 Bam quake, 2004 quake & tsunami, etc.) – with many striking around Iran & Turkey.  While this might be unrelated to the Middle East War Cycle that recurs in late-’22 – late-’23, it could show growing instability in the region.”


Solar Cycle 25 is expected to trigger increasing instability in 2023/2024 with two forms expected in the Middle East – War Cycles & geophysical cycles (Alpide Belt earthquakes with heightened focus on Turkey & Iran).  Reinforcing that, Solar/Sunspot Cycles pinpoint 2023 as the most likely time for a major, disruptive solar storm – cyclically linked to many of the most intense solar storms of the past ~200 years.  (2024 is the second most likely time, with the potential for disruptive solar storms in both years.)

This is coinciding with dramatic economic shifts in 2021 – 2025 and also forecast to see earthquake cycles rising/coinciding with volcanic cycles colliding in 2022 – ’24.

Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.