2-Year Cycle Progression: Late-Jan Cycle Highs & Early-Feb Cycle Lows in Focus.
01-10-26 – “Stock indexes are entering the time when multi-year cycles (2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions) portend a new set of 3 – 6-month peaks. The NQ-100 has been leading a topping process and is tracing out a weekly 21 MAC reversal sequence but is yet to produce the two most negative and convincing affirmations…
Stock Indices are initially fulfilling ~2-Year & ~4-Year Cycle Progressions that converge in Jan ’26 – the ideal time for a new 3 – 6-month peak to take hold.
The ~2-year cycle timed lows in Jan/ Feb ’14 & Jan/Feb ’16, after which 6 – 12-month advances unfolded. That Cycle Progression then inverted and timed successive 6 – 12-month (or longer) peaks in Jan/Feb 2018, 2020 & 2022.
Jan/Feb ’24 was the one time it failed as stocks stretched their rallies into March ’24 before suffering modest sell-offs. The interim (~1-year) period – in Jan/Feb ’25 – timed another 3 – 6 month peak, after which stock indexes plunged in sync with their reinforcing 17-Year Cycle.
Jan/Feb ’26 – with the greatest synergy of related cycles in mid-to-late-January ’26 – is the latest recurrence of the ~1-Year, ~2-Year and the related ~4-Year Cycle Progressions.
On an intermediate basis, the NQ-100 needs to give a weekly close below its weekly 21 Low MAC (~24,800/NQH) to signal a higher-magnitude top is in place and to project a new drop into early-Feb ’26. That would fulfill a 10 – 11-week low-low-low-low Cycle Progression and a 50% retracement in time.
Just as it has an ~11-week Cycle Progression timing successive lows, the NQ-100 also has an ~11-week high (May ’25) – high (Aug 11 – 15) – high (Oct 27 – 31, ‘25) – (high; Jan 12 – 16, ’26) Cycle Progression that could/should time a lower high in the coming week/days.
A spike high on Monday would also fulfill a 26-day low (Nov 21) – low (Dec 17) – (high; Jan 12th) Cycle Progression. The S+P 500 has set a 1 – 2-week (or longer) peak every ~10 trading days since its Oct 28/29th high. The next phase is on Jan 12/13th and should time another high.
Stock indices turned their new intra-month trends up – with the NQ-100 leading the way and accomplishing that on Jan 7th – and are poised to spike higher into the coming week. (Most indexes just attacked their monthly resistance.)
The intra-month uptrend (projecting a rally to 26,074/NQH or higher) and the daily trend pattern in that index brough some clarity to a trio of Cycle Progressions converging on Jan 12 – 14th. That is when a secondary high is now most likely.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes are fulfilling a myriad of multi-month & multi-year Cycle Progressions that project multi-month peaks to take hold in Jan/Feb ’26 and usher in new declines. The NQ-100 fulfilled multi-year upside objectives (timing & price) in late-Oct ’25 and set a likely 6 – 12-month peak at that time.
Other indexes are expected to set final highs in 1Q ’26 – some in January ’26 and others in February ’26 – as this overall topping process unfolds. Intermediate lows are projected for the days surrounding February 6/9th & March 6/9th, ’26… as part of this overall sequence.
How Would NQ-100 Confirm Late-Oct ’25 Cycle Peak?
Why is S+P 500 Projecting Late-Jan ’26 Peak?
What Would Validate ‘Eerie Parallel’ Scenario?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.