Crude/Energy Fulfill Mid-Sept Cycle High; Portend Early-Oct Low & Surge into late-Oct ‘26.
09-19-26 – “Crude Oil, Unleaded Gas & Heating Oil have surged into mid-September when a myriad of short-term Cycle Progressions align – including three different magnitudes of low-low-(high; Sept 14 – 16, ’26) Cycle Progressions in Crude.
Unleaded Gas & Heating Oil remain strong and stretched their rallies into the week of Sept 14 – 21, ’26 – the convergence of a ~12-week low-low-low-low-(high) Cycle Progression, a ~6-week low-low-(high) Cycle Progression, and now even a ~3-week low-low-(high) Cycle Progression.
The XLE index is completing a ~5-week low-low-low-(high; Sept 8 – 14, ’26) Cycle Progression and could also set a top at any time.
On a broader basis, Crude’s July ’26 pullback low perpetuated a 7 – 8-month low (Sept ’22) – low (May ’23) – low (Jan ’24) – low (Sept ’24) – low (Apr ’25) – low (Dec ’25) – (low; July/Aug ’26) Cycle Sequence that is now more likely to invert and ultimately time a future high in Feb/March ’27.
That is overlapped by a 10 – 11-month high (Nov ’22) – high (Sept ’23) – high (July ‘24) – high (June ’25) – high (May ’26) – (high; March/April ’27) Cycle Sequence – both of which align with GSCI (inflationary) cycles peaking around April ’27.
Late-Oct/early-Nov ’26 is the midpoint of both those cycles and could provide reinforcement.
The GSCI (heavily weighted in energy) did set a high and has retreated but remains in a daily & intra-month (and daily 21 MAC) uptrend with initial support near 740/GNX. It would not signal anything more than a 1 – 2-week top until a daily close below that level.“ TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!!
Crude & the products (Unleaded Gas & Heating Oil) continue to fulfill late-2025 & early-2026 projections for a massive rally in 2026, possibly stretching into 2Q 2027. The GSCI (heavily weighted in energy) corroborated that, projecting an initial surge – from mid-Dec ’25 into mid-April ’26 – and then a second surge into mid-Oct ’26… as part of an over-arching advance from 3Q ’25 into 2Q 2027.
On an intermediate basis, Crude and the products are fulfilling projections for the latest surge to occur in the first half of September ’26 – potentially peaking around mid-Sept ‘26. That would reinforce weekly Cycle Progressions (including a unique ~40-day/~6-week C.P.) that project a future rally into late-October ’26 – when other larger-magnitude weekly & monthly Cycle Progressions converge (and could time a future 1 – 2-month peak). Late-Oct/early-Nov ’26 is the ideal time for a blow-off peak that would corroborate future (2027) cycle highs.
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See current Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for the most updated analysis.