Crude/Energy/XLE Poised for Early-Oct Low; New Surge into Mid/Late-Oct ’26.
09-30-26 – “Crude Oil, Unleaded Gas & Heating Oil retreated last week with Crude dropping right to its weekly HLS (extreme downside target at 86.46/CLZ) as it twice neutralized the daily uptrend. Crude would not turn that daily trend down – and confirm a multi-week peak – until a daily close below 86.43/CLZ…
This comes after all three surged into mid-Sept when a myriad of Cycle Progressions aligned – including three different magnitudes of low-low-(high; Sept 14 – 16, ’26) Cycle Progressions in Crude. Sept 15th also fulfilled a ~40-day low (Feb 26) – low (April 8) – high (May 18) – low (June 26) – low (August 5) – (high; Sept 15, ’26) Cycle Sequence.
Unleaded Gas & Heating Oil also stretched their rallies into Sept 14 – 18, ’26 – fulfilling ~12-week low-low-low-low-(high), ~6-week low-low-(high), and ~3-week low-low-(high) Cycle Progressions. That also set the stage for a multi-week peak.
The XLE fulfilled a ~5-week low-low-low-(high; Sept 8 – 14, ’26) Cycle Progression with its Sept 9/10th high, projecting future focus to the week of Oct 12 – 16, ’26 – when a secondary high is likely. (An intervening low is likely on Oct 2/5th in line with a ~3-month high-low-(low) Cycle Progression.)“ TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!!
Crude & the products (Unleaded Gas & Heating Oil) continue to fulfill late-2025 & early-2026 projections for a massive rally in 2026, possibly stretching into 2Q 2027. The GSCI (heavily weighted in energy) corroborated that, projecting an initial surge – from mid-Dec ’25 into mid-April ’26 – and then a second surge into mid-Oct ’26… as part of an over-arching advance from 3Q ’25 into 2Q 2027.
On an intermediate basis, Crude and the products fulfilled projections for the latest surge to peak in ~mid-Sept ’26 as a series of progressive peaks… and are poised to set a subsequent low in early-Oct ’26. That should spur a new surge into Oct 23 – 30, ’26 when a powerful convergence of weekly Cycle Progressions – including the next phase of that unique ~40-day/~6-week Cycle Progression – align… and could/should time a 1 – 2-month peak.
Late-Oct/early-Nov ’26 is the ideal time for a blow-off peak that would corroborate future (2027) cycle highs, including related GSCI cycles in 1Q & 2Q ‘27.
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17-Year Cycle: Inflation’s Next Surge (into April/May ’26)
17-Year Cycle: Stocks, Stagflation & Housing
17-Year Cycle & Inflation II …and a Stock Market Low
See current Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for the most updated analysis.