Crude & Energy Markets Surging into Sept & Oct ’26 Cycle Peaks; GSCI Concurs.
09-02-26 – “Energy markets and the GSCI (Goldman Sachs Commodity Index… heavily weighted in energy) are nearing an inflection point in sync with cycles & Cycle Progressions that:
- Timed the Dec ’25 lows and projected related surges in oil & commodity inflation for 2026…
- Projected and then timed the April ’26 highs (3 – 6-month peak in GSCI & intervening high in energy markets)…
- Projected a more significant peak in late-August/ early-Sept ’26 – the fulfillment of an uncanny ~8-month low-low-low-low-(high; early-Sept ’26) Cycle Progression in energy markets.
Many signs point to an impending (intervening) peak in oil markets and the GSCI.
That would be viewed as another stepping stone in the overall outlook for an inflationary surge from Dec ’25 into April/May ’27. That was projected to begin with an initial surge into April ’26 and then a second surge into late-August ’26. Future peaks in late-Dec/ early-Jan & April/May ’27 are still likely.
The period of Sept 4 – 11, ‘26 comprises a great synergy of Cycle Progressions – some weekly, some monthly – that converge in the energy markets and are increasingly likely to time an important top.
As just mentioned, an intriguing one is the ~8-month low (early-Jan ‘24) – low (early-Sept ‘24) – low (early-May ‘25) – low (early-Jan ‘26) Cycle Progression that helped pinpoint the onset of this 2026 surge in oil prices… while projecting an overall advance into early-Sept ‘26.
Another related Cycle Progression involves the ~18-week Cycle Progression in the GSCI that was fulfilled in late-April ‘26 and projected a future peak at this time frame (Aug 31 – Sept 11, ‘26).
The bottom line is that the current period – most synergistic on Sept 4 – 11, ‘26 – is a likely time for a multi-week (or longer) peak in many inflationary markets… a factor that could impact interest rates in 3Q ‘26. Sept 4/8th is the ideal time…
Gold & Silver surged into the final week of Aug ’26 – when Cycle Progressions projected a multi-week peak to take hold and spur a sharp pullback after Gold & Silver had also attacked upside price targets.
Silver also had weekly cycles projecting a high on Aug 21 – 28, ’26 that would fulfill a ~15-week low-high-high-high-(high; Aug 21 – 28, ’26) Cycle Progression. Both metals pulled back to their weekly 21 Low MACs and are finding some support…
2 – 4 week & 1 – 3 month traders could have entered long positions in Dec Gold & Sept Silver futures in late-July at avgs of ~4092/GCZ & ~57.90/SIU in line with published trading strategies for July 27 – 31, ’26.
2 – 4-week traders could have exited Gold & Silver long positions in late-August ‘26, resulting in overall avg gains of about $51,000/contract in GCZ & about $52,000/contract in SIU.
1 – 3-month traders could have exited 1/2 of long positions near 4680/GCZ and 69.00/SIU – w/avg gains of about $59,000/contract in GCZ & about $55,000/contract in SIU and exited the remaining 1/2 on the week’s open (avg exit near 4500/GCZ & 66.40/SIU) – resulting in overall avg. gains for the entire trade of about $50,000/contract in GCZ & about $50,000/contract in SIU… TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!!
Crude Oil, Unleaded Gas & Heating Oil are surging into Sept 3 – 8th, ~8 months from the Jan 7th low, 4 months from the May 6th low (part of a 4-month low-low-low-high Cycle Progression), 2 months from the July 2nd low (2-month low-low-high Cycle Progression) & 1 month from the Aug 5th low (1-month low-low-high Cycle Progression).
A high on Sept 4 – 11, ’26 would also fulfill a related ~5-week low-low-low-(high; Sept 4 – 11, ’26) Cycle Progression.
For now, these energy markets appear to be accelerating into a new multi-week top – that is most likely in the coming 2 – 4 trading days. If fulfilled, that could spur a correction into early-Oct ’26.
The GSCI (heavily weighted in energy) is showing similar signs but more likely to set a lower high (than its March/April ’26 highs) in the coming days.“ TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!!
Crude & the products (Unleaded Gas & Heating Oil) continue to fulfill late-2025 projections for a massive rally in 2026, possibly stretching into 2Q 2027. The GSCI (heavily weighted in energy) corroborated that, projecting an initial surge – from mid-Dec ’25 into mid-April ’26 – and then a second surge into mid-Oct ’26… as part of an over-arching advance from 3Q ’25 into 2Q 2027.
On an intermediate basis, Crude and the products are fulfilling projections for another surge in the first half of September ’26. That would reinforce weekly Cycle Progressions (including a unique ~40-day/~6-week C.P.) that project a future rally into late-October ’26 – when other larger-magnitude weekly & monthly Cycle Progressions converge… and could time a 1 – 2-month peak.
Meanwhile, Gold & Silver – that come under pressure during Crude rallies – fulfilled ongoing analysis and trading signals that projected strong rallies into late-August ’26, when a decisive peak was expected to take hold. (The next peak in that sequence is not likely until early-Dec ’26.)
17-Year Cycle: Energy & Equity Opposing Extremes
17-Year Cycle: Inflation’s Next Surge (into April/May ’26)
17-Year Cycle: Stocks, Stagflation & Housing
17-Year Cycle & Inflation II …and a Stock Market Low
See current Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for the most updated analysis.