Crude Poised to Extend Rally into Mid-Sept; Low in early-Oct & New High in Late-Oct ’26 Likely.
09-09-26 – Inflation Inflection Point Entered – “Energy markets and the GSCI (Goldman Sachs Commodity Index… heavily weighted in energy) are spiking higher into the culmination of multiple cycles & Cycle Progressions that are most synergistic this week – Sept 8 – 11, ’26.
This is in precise sync with the overall outlook for a major inflationary surge in 2026, potentially stretching into April/May 2027. Multiple cycles that timed the Dec ’25 lows and projected related surges in oil & commodity inflation for 2026 are again converging now – in the first half of September ’26.
One of the larger ones is an intriguing ~8-month low (early-Jan ‘24) – low (early-Sept ‘24) – low (early-May ‘25) – low (early-Jan ‘26) Cycle Progression that helped pinpoint the onset of this 2026 surge in oil prices… while projecting an overall advance into early-Sept ‘26.
If fulfilled, that would project a future high in ~May ’27 – the next phase of that ~8-month Cycle Progression.
Another related Cycle Progression involves the ~18-week Cycle Progression in the GSCI that was fulfilled in late-April ‘26 and projected a future peak at this time frame (Aug 31 – Sept 11, ‘26). Several commodities are already signaling intermediate tops.
Corroborating that is an intermediate, ~5-week low (May 29) – low (July 2) – low (Aug 5) – (high; Sept 8 – 11, ’26) and an over-arching 10 – 11-week low (Nov ’25) – low (Feb ’26) – low (April ’26) – low (Jun/July ’26) – (high; Sept 8 – 14, ’26) Cycle Progression…
Gold & Silver have consolidated after surging into the final week of Aug ’26 – when Cycle Progressions projected a multi-week peak to take hold and spur a sharp pullback after Gold & Silver had also attacked upside price targets, where a peak was most likely.
Both Gold & Silver are tracing out negative daily 21 MAC reversal sequences, although Gold is in the relatively-weaker structure on that basis…
Crude Oil, Unleaded Gas & Heating Oil have surged into the first part of September, fulfilling a myriad of daily Cycle Progressions and a related ~5-week low-low-low-(high; Sept 4 – 11, ’26) Cycle Progression. However, they are all in intra-month uptrends and would not neutralize them (or signal a top) until daily closes below the Sept 2nd highs.
If that does not occur this week, it could extend these rallies into Sept 14 – 16, ’26… when other short-term Cycle Progressions converge – including three different magnitudes of low-low-(high; Sept 14 – 16, ’26) Cycle Progressions in Crude.“ TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!!
Crude & the products (Unleaded Gas & Heating Oil) continue to fulfill late-2025 & early-2026 projections for a massive rally in 2026, possibly stretching into 2Q 2027. The GSCI (heavily weighted in energy) corroborated that, projecting an initial surge – from mid-Dec ’25 into mid-April ’26 – and then a second surge into mid-Oct ’26… as part of an over-arching advance from 3Q ’25 into 2Q 2027.
On an intermediate basis, Crude and the products are fulfilling projections for another surge in the first half of September ’26. That would reinforce weekly Cycle Progressions (including a unique ~40-day/~6-week C.P.) that project a future rally into late-October ’26 – when other larger-magnitude weekly & monthly Cycle Progressions converge… and could time a 1 – 2-month peak.
Meanwhile, Gold & Silver – that come under pressure during Crude rallies – fulfilled ongoing analysis and trading signals that projected strong rallies into late-August ’26, when a decisive peak was expected to take hold. (The next peak in that sequence is not likely until early-Dec ’26.)
17-Year Cycle: Energy & Equity Opposing Extremes
17-Year Cycle: Inflation’s Next Surge (into April/May ’26)
17-Year Cycle: Stocks, Stagflation & Housing
17-Year Cycle & Inflation II …and a Stock Market Low
See current Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for the most updated analysis.