DJIA, DJTA, Russell 2K & S+P Midcap Project Sept Declines into Late-Sept/Early-Oct ‘26.
09-12-26 – “Stock indexes are reinforcing the outlook for an intra-month high on Sept 3/4th followed by an overall decline into late-Sept (and possibly early-Oct) ‘26…
Stock Indices continue to trace out a new multi-month topping process, led by the NQ-100 – similar to several previous multi-month tops including the one that occurred in 4Q ’25…
The DJTA is tracing out a similar pair of reversal signals and is currently trading below its weekly 21 Low MAC… and likely to turn the direction of that 21 Low MAC down in the coming week.
The Russell 2000 & S+P Midcap 400 reinforced that with Intra-month Inverted V Reversals lower in August… portending follow-through selling in September. They are both poised to break below their weekly 21 Low MACs with the Russell 2000 just turning its weekly trend down.
All of this increases the likelihood for an overall decline from mid-Aug into late-Sept ’26 – linked to the same DJIA cycle that helped pinpoint the late-March ’26 low (see Sept ’26 INSIIDE Track). It also increases the potential for an initial spike low into the coming day(s).
Stock indices sold off after bouncing and setting intra-month highs on Sept 3/4th – the latest phase in a geometric ~1-month/~30-degree high (May 7) – high (June 4) – high (July 7) – high (August 5) – (high; Sept 3/4, ’26) Cycle Progression.
That was also the ideal time for an intra-month high if the overall month is going to be a negative one (see 9/02/26 Alert). They (DJIA, S+P 400 & 500, and Russell 2000) turned their intra-month trends down – validating those highs and portending selling into (at least) mid-month.
The DJIA, S+P Midcap 400 & Russell 2000 then bounced right back to their month-opening ranges (Sept 1st lows) without closing back above them – initially validating the new intra-month trends. That increases the chances for a new sell-off in the first half of the coming week.
The DJIA has an intermediate 16-trading day cycle that has governed it since mid-May and recurs on Sept 14 (and then in early-Oct ’26).” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
The NQ-100 has rebounded after fulfilling analysis for an overall decline into late-July ’26 and to multi-month support at ~27,400/NQ. The NQ-100 attacked ~27,400 on July 29th – precisely fulfilling that analysis and magnifying the significance of that support level. At the very least, that level should be viewed as 1 – 3-month support.
In the DJIA and other indexes, the projected August bounce ‘cast shadows ahead’ to Sept/Oct ’26. An ongoing decline – in the weaker indexes – could stretch from mid-August into late-Sept/early-Oct ’26!
On an intra-year basis, Stock Indexes surged from a powerful convergence of daily, weekly & monthly Cycle Progressions and timing indicators that projected (well in advance) a multi-month bottom on March 30, ’26. That set the stage for the remainder of 2026 and identified last-Sept ’26 as the most likely time for a future multi-month low to take hold in the DJIA.
That is one reason why an overall decline – from the early-August ’26 peak – is expected to last into late-Sept ’26!
How Would Plunge into Late-Sept ’26 Impact 4Q ’26 Outlook?
See current Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for the most updated analysis.