DJIA Projects Sept ’26 Decline as Russell 2K & S+P Midcap Concur.
09-09-26 – “Stock indices continue to trace out a new multi-week/month topping process… As a result, intensifying signs continue to project a significant sell-off in Sept ’26…
The NQ-100 weekly trend & 21 MAC are tracing out corroborating reversal sequences & are increasingly likely to see a new round of selling in September… The DJTA is tracing out a similar pair of reversal signals and is currently trading below its weekly 21 Low MAC.
The Russell 2000 & S+P Midcap 400 reinforced that by completing Intra-month Inverted V Reversals lower in August… portending follow-through selling in September. They are on the cusp of turning their intra-month trends down – as are most of these indexes – and could see an initial drop into mid-Sept.
The DJIA & S+P 500 are corroborating that with both indexes tracing out precise & textbook daily 21 MAC (downward) reversal sequences from Aug 20th – Sept 8th, when they produced the final confirming signs by closing below the now-descending daily 21 Low MACs. That could spur follow-through selling.
All of this increases the likelihood for an overall decline from mid-Aug into late-Sept ’26 – linked to the same DJIA cycle that helped pinpoint the late-March ’26 low (see Sept ’26 INSIIDE Track)…
A crucial factor in the current & subsequent outlook remains the weekly trend… but not only in the NQ-100. While leading the way, the NQ-100 turned its weekly trend down in July and then projected a rally… even as many other indexes were spiking to slight new highs – creating revealing divergence.
The key is now whether the ‘lagging’ indexes will turn their weekly trends down during this (expected) drop into late-Sept ’26. If so, that would reveal some critical components of what to expect in 4Q ’26.
On a shorter-term basis, Stock indices perfectly fulfilled daily Cycle Progressions by rebounding into Sept 3/4th. That is the same time of month the DJIA set intra-month highs since May ’26 – the latest phase in a geometric ~1-month/~30-degree high (May 7) – high (June 4) – high (July 7) – high (August 5) – (high; Sept 3/4, ’26) Cycle Progression.**
It was also the ideal time for an intra-month high if the overall month is going to be a negative one (see 9/02/26 Alert). That can then lead to an Intra-month Extreme-Extreme with the high set near the start of the month and the ultimate (intra-month) low set at month-end… the time when cycles portend a bottom.
[**It is possible the DJIA stretches this decline into the early days of Oct ’26 and inverts that ~1-month/ ~30-degree Cycle Progression. Late-Sept price action would need to clarify that.]
The most convincing corroboration of these potential scenarios would emerge with daily closes below the Sept 1st – 3rd trading ranges. That could be seen as soon as tomorrow.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
The NQ-100 has rebounded after fulfilling analysis for an overall decline into late-July ’26 and to multi-month support at ~27,400/NQ. The NQ-100 attacked ~27,400 on July 29th – precisely fulfilling that analysis and magnifying the significance of that support level. At the very least, that level should be viewed as 1 – 3-month support.
In the DJIA and other indexes, the projected August bounce ‘cast shadows ahead’ to Sept/Oct ’26. An ongoing decline – in the weaker indexes – could stretch from mid-August into late-Sept/early-Oct ’26!
On an intra-year basis, Stock Indexes surged from a powerful convergence of daily, weekly & monthly Cycle Progressions and timing indicators that projected (well in advance) a multi-month bottom on March 30, ’26. That set the stage for the remainder of 2026 and identified last-Sept ’26 as the most likely time for a future multi-month low to take hold in the DJIA.
That is one reason why an overall decline – from the early-August ’26 peak – is expected to last into late-Sept ’26!
How Would Plunge into Late-Sept ’26 Impact 4Q ’26 Outlook?
See current Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for the most updated analysis.