Gold & Silver Trigger New Buy Signals; Project Multi-Week Surge!
07-25-26 – “Gold & Silver are in the ideal setup for new multi-month rallies… Gold & Silver are consolidating after Gold dropped to a new intra-year low in late-June, fulfilling an ~11-week high-high-high-(low; June 29 – July 2, ’26) Cycle Progression while providing another intra-week spike below its Oct ’25 low (4th wave of lesser degree)… all setting the stage for a multi-month low to take hold.
Those lows also fulfilled weekly HLS indicators & reinforced prevailing wave analysis that the recent decline (since mid-April ’26) is still a corrective one that is likely a ‘C’ wave… and primes Gold & Silver for a new surge that could/ should ultimately last into Oct ‘26.
If a low has just taken hold, Gold could now see a 13 – 14-week advance into Oct ’26 – rebounding .618 of its recent 22-week decline while mimicking the 13 – 14-week rally of Oct ’25 into Jan ’26 and perpetuating a sequence of geometric (~3-month/~90-degree) moves.
Silver could initially rally into the week of Aug 24 – 28, ’26 – the latest phase of a ~15-week low-high-high-high-high-(high; Aug 24 – 28, ’26) Cycle
Sequence that helped time the late-Jan ’26 & subsequent mid-May ’26 highs. A rally into Aug 26, ’26 would also represent a precise .618 of its latest decline – leading into that potential high.
1 – 5 day Outlook:
Gold & Silver declined into mid-month and have since rebounded but still need daily closes above 4216/GCQ & 63.73/SIU to turn the intra-month trends up and produce the first signs of a multi-week reversal higher. If they do that in the coming week, it would also complete Intra-Month V Reversals higher.
In the interim, it would now only take daily closes above 4172/GCQ & 61.27/SIU to turn the daily trends up after Gold & Silver neutralized their daily downtrends twice while rallying into July 22nd. That would also generate bullish signals via the daily 21 MACs.
2 – 4 week & 1 – 3 month traders can enter long positions in Dec Gold & Sept Silver futures at current levels and average into those down to the recent lows. Risk/exit on daily closes below the July 17th lows. TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
The XAU & HUI declined from mid-May cycle highs into mid-July, fulfilling their weekly trend patterns, setting the stage for a multi-month low as they attacked rising monthly 21 High MACs.
They stretched their declines into July 17th, fulfilling a ~1-month/~30-degree high (Apr 17) – high (May 13) – high (June 17) – (low; July 17, ’26) Cycle Progression and their intra-month downtrends – setting the stage for a subsequent rally into month-end and the completion of an Intra-Month V Reversal higher.
At the same time, they fulfilled a 19 – 20-week high-high-high-(low) and a ~10-week high-high-high-high-(low) Cycle Progression… indicating that at least a ~5-week rally should follow.
This took place in the month after the XAU triggered the second neutral signal to its prevailing monthly uptrend – the optimum time (July ’26, the subsequent month) for a 3 – 6-month (or longer) low to take hold.
Initially, that could spur a rally into late-Aug/ early-Sept ’26 (corroborating Silver cycles). Daily closes above the July 22nd highs are needed to turn the daily trends up.
Platinum & Palladium corroborated this outlook with Platinum fulfilling a ~7-month/31 – 32-week low (Sept 2 – 6, ‘24) – low (April 7 – 11, ’25) – low (Nov 17 – 21, ’25) – (low; June 29 – July 2, ’26) Cycle Progression – that now projects a minimum ~16-week rally (50% of 32-week cycle) into Oct 19 – 23, ’26.
Ideally, that would only be part of a full ~32-week rally – since that Cycle Progression is at the likely inversion stage – into Feb 8 – 12, ’27.
This comes right after Palladium attacked its rising monthly 21 Low MAC (after neutralizing its monthly uptrend for the second time) & Platinum attacked its rising monthly 21 High MAC while dropping right to its Oct/Nov ’25 low (1539/PLV) – its 4th wave of lesser degree support on a multi-year basis (the ideal level for a secondary low).
A 1 – 2-month rally to ~2000/PLV appears likely and was partially corroborated by both white metals retracing to their daily 21 Low MACs and initially holding… as the inversely-correlated 21 MARCs begin multi-day plunges.
Copper remains positive, on a multi-month basis, until a weekly close below 5.850/HGU. It is poised to extend the latest advance into mid-August ’26 when a ~7-week low-low-low-(high: Aug 10 – 14, ’26) Cycle Progression recurs.
That could involve a spike above 7.000/HGU, a key multi-year upside range target.”
Gold & Silver (as well as Platinum, Palladium and the XAU & HUI) have fulfilled analysis for a multi-month drop into July ’26 – when a decisive, multi-month bottom was/is projected. This is still perceived to be an ‘A-B-C’ correction (of an over-arching multi-year uptrend), with the terminal ‘C’ wave forming a bottom while ushering in the next phase of the 40-Year Cycle of Currency War.
Late-June/early-July ’26 is/was the ideal time for the start of a multi-week bottoming process, with Gold leading the way. The XAU corroborated with mid-July ’26 cycle lows. Silver & the white metals followed. Late-July/early-August ’26 is the most likely time for a new surge to take hold as part of Gold’s projected multi-month advance from its June 30, ’26 low. Copper projects an imminent surge to new all-time highs!
All this remains in the context of the unfolding scenarios projected for 2022 – 2028/2029, with Gold & Silver nearing a transition into the next phase of their over-riding outlook. If they begin a new surge in late-July/early-August ’26, that would powerfully corroborate projections for 3Q & 4Q 2026… as well as analysis for 2026 – 2029! Analysis for the US Dollar & Forex, Interest Rates, Stock Indexes and Bitcoin/cryptos concurs.
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