Soybeans Fulfill Mid-2016 Cycle Peak

07/28/16 INSIIDE Track:  Outlook 2016–2017

With oppressive heat waves & ‘heat domes’ plaguing the U.S. and other nations (not to mention the rapidly recurring locust swarms around the globe), it is a good time to re-visit the topic of Food Crisis Cycles – another example of the 40-Year Cycle that is expected to trigger a renewed crisis in 2016/2017 through 2019 and potentially 2021.

While that actually applies to many crops, the focus of this discussion is on the grain markets (Soybeans, Corn & Wheat) and what has been – and still is – expected for 2016/2017… the early stages of a 3–5 year period when crop stresses are increasingly likely, based on cyclical AND fundamental factors…

The crux of that analysis is centered around the idea that 2019 is the most synergistic year for the culmination of these cycles… and for some very significant trigger mechanisms (i.e. climate, solar cycles, volcanic cycles, etc.) that could coincide with the crescendo of these trends.

As is almost always the case, however, it is NOT just one event or surprise that triggers this type of (anticipated) crisis – but rather the compound effect of multiple events…

40-Year Climate Cycle

Leading into that 2019 crescendo, several preliminary stresses are expected – some weather-related and others not.

One of the most noteworthy is the 40-Year Cycle of Climate Extremes that most recently timed the 1976/1977 California Drought & skyrocketing food prices into 1978–1980.

40 years prior, in 1936 (–1939/ 1940), it was America’s Dust Bowl & the N. American Heat Wave – as well as the Chinese Famine that killed ~5 million.

Exactly 40 years before that, the 1896–1898 Australian Heat Wave (& related Federation Drought… that dragged on into 1903) wreaked havoc.  Ironically, that heat wave came on the heels of the 1896 El Nino year – not unlike the 2015/2016 El Nino event.

Precisely 40 years prior, it was the onset of the 1856–1865 Civil War Drought that created a food crisis in America.  That was the first of 3 severe droughts – in the West & Plains – in a 40-year period (into the mid-1890’s).  At least where Texas was concerned, the 1850’s drought was the worst in the last ~300 years (worse than Dust Bowl).

And one uncanny 40-Year Cycle before that 1856 trigger, the 1816 Year Without a Summer impacted much of the world and triggered famine in 1816–1819.  So, you decide:  Is there some validity & consistency to the 40-Year Cycle of Food Crises?

Soybeans turned their monthly trend up on June 30, 2016, fulfilling the primary upside objective for 2016.  Coinciding with that, Soybeans attacked their yearly LHR (intra-year extreme upside price target) while completing a powerful 4-Shadow Signal… all signs of initial culmination.

All those indicators reinforced expectations for a much larger advance in the future… while also identifying the likely time for an initial peak now – the ‘1’ wave high of what is expected to be an overall ‘1-2-3-4-5’ wave advance.  That high perpetuated a ~360-degree cycle that has produced multi-quarter peaks during the months of May–July in 2012, 2013, 2014 & 2015 and a ~4-year cycle that has produced multi-quarter peaks during the months of May–July in 2000, 2004, 2008 & 2012.  The focus on 2017–2019 intensifies! ”

Soybeans & Corn fulfilled projections for 1 – 2 year peaks in May – July 2016, the latest phase of 2-Year & 4-Year Cycles that project future 1 – 2 year peaks for May – July 2018 & May – July 2020.  In contrast, Wheat is projecting a major, multi-year low in Aug./Sept. 2016 and the onset of an initial surge in 2016 – 2017.  That should be part of an overall advance into 2020 – corroborated by the 40-Year Cycle.  Food Crisis Cycles – most acute in 2019 – 2020 corroborate this outlook and could be exacerbated by the projected shift from drought to flooding cycles in 2015 – 2021… that could intensify in 2019 – 2021 (the same time climate, crop, solar & seismic cycles collide).

The 4-Year Cycle Peak in Soybeans has produced a corroborating peak in mid-2016 (May – July ’16; a precursor to a more dramatic peak in mid-2020) and reinforces this overall outlook for the late-2010’s.  See http://40yearcycle.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/INSIIDETrackSR201205Beans2012em.pdf for details and analysis on the last 4-Year Cycle Peak in 2012.