Stock Index Bounce From Jan 21st Cycle Lows; Portend Future Drop into Feb 6/9th!
01-24-26 – “Stock indexes have reached late-Jan ’26, the convergence of 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions – as well as corroborating ~2-month Cycle Progressions that were projecting rising highs in late-July, late-Sept, late-Nov ’25… and finally late-Jan ’26. The NQ-100 has been leading a topping process but is still in need of confirming signals…
Stock Indices dropped right into January 21st – 2 months from the Nov 21st low and in sync with NQ-100 parallels that were projecting a quick ~5-trading day decline from Jan 13 into Jan 21, ’26. As stated last week:
1-14-26 – …it sets the NQ-100 up to repeat the action seen after that Dec 10th high… If the current market does the same (‘c’ = ‘a’ wave decline), it would drop into Jan 21, ’26… 2 months/ 60 degrees from the Nov 21, ’25 low. The NQ-100 is likely to set a series of lows around Jan 21/22, Feb 6/9, and Feb 19 – 22, ’26…”
Daily & weekly HLS levels corroborated with the S+P 500 & NQ-100 possessing a pair of weekly HLS levels (extreme downside targets) at 6814 – 6829/ESH & 24,844 – 24,919/NQH.
On Jan 21st, they spiked down to 6814/ESH & 25,025/NQH – a day after plunging to their daily HLS levels.
Along with the daily 21 Low MARCs and Cycle Progressions, those HLS levels provided key multi-day support and spurred new rallies.
That allowed stronger indexes – like the Russell 2000 and S+P Midcap 400 – to set new highs and fulfill ~1-Year, ~2-Year & ~4-Year Cycle Progressions that portend multi-month peaks, ideally in late-Jan ’26… the culmination of a projected series of ascending highs – in late-July, late-Sept & late-Nov ’25 and then ultimately in late-January ’26
The NQ-100 needs to give a weekly close below its weekly 21 Low MAC (~24,900/NQH) to signal a higher-magnitude top is in place and to project a new drop into early-Feb and then past mid-Feb.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes are fulfilling a myriad of multi-month & multi-year Cycle Progressions that project multi-month peaks to take hold in Jan/Feb ’26 and usher in new declines. The NQ-100 fulfilled multi-year upside objectives (timing & price) in late-Oct ’25 and set a likely 6 – 12-month peak at that time.
Other indexes are expected to set final highs in 1Q ’26 – some in January ’26 and others in February ’26 – as this overall topping process unfolds. Intermediate lows are projected for the days surrounding February 6/9th & March 6/9th, ’26… as part of this overall sequence. The NQ-100 was/is projected to set a series of 1 – 2 week lows on Jan 21/22nd, Feb 6/9, Feb 19/22 & March 6/9, ’26 as part of this process.
How Could NQ-100 Confirm Late-Oct ’25 Cycle Peak?
Will S+P 500 Fulfill Projected Late-Jan ’26 Peak?
What Would Validate ‘Eerie Parallel’ Scenario in 1Q/2Q ‘26?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.