Stock Indexes Fulfill Late-Jan ’26 Cycle Peak; Project Declines into ~Feb 9th & ~March 9th, ‘26!
01-31-26 – “Stock indexes rallied into late-Jan ’26, the convergence of ~2-Month, 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions that projected a series of highs leading into late-Jan ’26. The NQ-100 has been leading a topping process and is in the ideal position to generate confirming signals in the first half of Feb…
Stock Indices reached late-Jan ’26, the time when 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions converged with ~2-month Cycle Progressions & projected the final high in a series of ascending highs.
A consistent short-term S+P cycle honed that, pinpointing Jan 27/28th for a peak.
That was/is expected to be the high of the latest rally from the Jan 21st low – the first of a series of likely descending lows (Jan 21/22, Feb 6/9 & Feb 19 – 22, ’26) projected to unfold in the NQ-100:
1-14-26 – “The NQ-100 is likely to set a series of lows around Jan 21/22, Feb 6/9, and Feb 19 – 22, ’26, based on corroborating daily & weekly Cycle Progressions.” — Jan 14, ’26 Weekly Re-Lay Alert
Other indexes corroborate focus on the week of Feb 9 – 13, ’26 for the next low. The S+P Midcap 400 has set 4 consecutive lows at ~6-week/~41-day (28 trading-day) intervals. 41 days from the most recent low (Dec 31, ’25) is Feb 10, ’26.
The Jan 22, ’26 peak was set at the midpoint – 14 trading days from the Dec 31 low – and could lead to a 14 trading-day decline into Feb 11, ’26.
Opposing those low cycles, the S+P 500 set another peak at the same interval of time (10 trading days or approximately 2 weeks) that it has done for the past 3 months.
As discussed earlier this week, the latest phase of that ~10 trading-day cycle was on January 27/28th and timed another (likely) multi-week week peak as the S+P held monthly resistance AND weekly resistance.
The S+P 500 & NQ-100 also spiked up to their weekly LHRs (extreme upside weekly target) while setting that top – and generated a daily ‘failure’ – portending a sharp sell-off that would dovetail with the weekly 21 MAC sequence and its inversely-correlated 21 MARC in the NQ-100. (See Jan & Feb ’26 INSIIDE Tracks).
The NQ-100 corroborated that by completing a weekly 2 Close Reversal Combo sell signal.
Stock indices fulfilled analysis for a rally into late-Jan ’26 and peaked in sync with daily cycle highs on Jan 27/28th. They have initially sold off but need daily closes below 48,428/DJIA, 6866/ ESH & 25,265/NQH to turn the daily trends down, trigger negative daily 21 MAC signals, and likely confirm multi-week reversals lower.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes are fulfilling a myriad of multi-month & multi-year Cycle Progressions that project multi-month peaks to take hold in Jan/Feb ’26 – ideally late-Jan ’26 in the S+P 500 – and usher in new declines. The NQ-100 fulfilled multi-year upside objectives (timing & price) in late-Oct ’25 and set a likely 6 – 12-month peak at that time, leading this topping phase.
Other indexes are expected to set final highs in February ’26 as this overall topping process unfolds. Subsequent intermediate lows are projected for the days surrounding February 6/9th & March 6/9th, ’26… as part of this overall sequence. The NQ-100 was/is projected to set a series of 1 – 2 week lows on Jan 21/22nd, Feb 6/9, Feb 19 – 23 (corrected), & March 6/9, ’26 as part of this unfolding pattern. Subsequent lows are also possible around March 20/23rd & April 6 – 9, ’26.
The outlook for a major low in energy prices in January ’26 – and a powerful surge in 1Q ’26 – coincides with that as inflation markets continue to portend trouble in 2026. An oil price rally into mid-March ’26 would corroborate that and is being reinforced by the potential for an initial high in late-Jan ‘26. That would project a future peak for March 9 – 13, ’26 – the completion of the 4th consecutive ~11 – 12-week rally and a corroborating ~6-week low-high (Jan 28/29, ’26) – (high; March 9 – 13, ’26) Cycle Progression. The GSCI concurs.
How Could NQ-100 Confirm Late-Oct ’25 Cycle Peak?
Is S+P 500 Fulfilling Projected Late-Jan ’26 Peak?
How are Oil/Energy Cycles Reinforcing 1Q ’26 Outlook?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.