Stock Indexes Fulfill Projected Drop into ~Jan 21st; Portend Future Drop into Feb 6/9th!
01-21-26 – “Stock Indices dropped right into January 21st – 2 months from the Nov 21st low and in sync with NQ-100 parallels that were projecting a quick ~5-trading day decline from Jan 13 into Jan 21, ’26. As stated last week:
1-14-26 – Equally important, the NQ-100 peaked below the level of its Dec 10th high – the previous peak that perpetuated a ~28 trading day Cycle Progression that was/is expected to produce an opposing (1 – 2 week) low around Jan 22, ’26… The interesting thing about the latest high is it sets the NQ-100 up to repeat the action seen after that Dec 10th high…
At the time, the Nasdaq 100 dropped sharply during the subsequent 5 trading days… and set a low on Dec 17th. If the current market does the same (‘c’ = ‘a’ wave decline), it would drop into Jan 21, ’26… 1 day before the Jan 22, ’26 Cycle Progression low and 2 months/60 degrees from the Nov 21, ’25 low.
A daily close below 25,420/NQH is needed to provide initial confirmation. [The NQ-100 is likely to set a series of lows around Jan 21/22, Feb 6/9, and Feb 19 – 22, ’26, based on corroborating daily & weekly Cycle Progressions. Price action will need to validate that potential.]” — Jan 14, ’26 Weekly Re-Lay Alert
Corroborating that outlook – for a quick drop into ~Jan 21st – were the daily & weekly HLS levels in the leading S+P 500 & NQ-100 indexes. Entering this week, those indexes had a pair of weekly HLS levels (extreme downside targets for this week) at 6814 – 6829/ESH & 24,844 – 24,919/NQH.
On January 21st, they spiked down to 6814/ESH & 25,025/NQH – on the day after they plunged to their daily HLS levels.
While those levels might only time multiday lows, they provided initial support along with the daily 21 Low MARCs. Both indexes quickly rebounded to their flattening daily 21 Low MACs – part of a potential (negative) daily 21 MAC reversal sequence…
This initial support and initial cycle low allowed for stronger indexes – like the Russell 2000 and S+P Midcap 400 to spike to new highs, initially fulfilling ~1-Year, ~2-Year & ~4-Year Cycle Progressions that portend multi-month peaks, ideally in late-Jan ’26.
All the indexes have entered the time when 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions portend a new set of 3 – 6-month peaks. That potential has been discussed for several months, following the fulfillment of major downside objectives in early-April ’25.
It included projections for a series of ascending highs – in late-July, late-Sept & late-Nov ’25 and then ultimately in late-January ’26… with some divergent highs expected along the way.
The NQ-100 has been leading a topping process – since its late-Oct ’25 high – and is tracing out a weekly 21 MAC reversal sequence but is yet to produce the two most negative signals.
The other indexes are initially fulfilling those ~2-Year & ~4-Year Cycle Progressions. The ~2-year cycle timed lows in Jan/Feb ’14 & Jan/Feb ’16, after which 6 – 12-month rallies unfolded. That C.P. then inverted and timed successive 6 – 12-month (or longer) peaks in Jan/Feb 2018, 2020 & 2022.
Jan/Feb ’24 was the one time it failed as stocks stretched their rallies into March ’24 before suffering modest sell-offs. The interim (~1-year) period – in Jan/Feb ’25 – timed another 3 – 6 month peak, after which stock indexes plunged in sync with their reinforcing 17-Year Cycle.
Jan/Feb ’26 – with the greatest synergy of related cycles in mid-to-late-January ’26 – is the latest recurrence of the ~1-Year, ~2-Year and the related ~4-Year Cycle Progressions… making it a prime target for a decisive peak and reversal lower.
The NQ-100 needs to give a weekly close below [reserved for subscribers] to project a new drop into early-Feb ’26…” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes are fulfilling a myriad of multi-month & multi-year Cycle Progressions that project multi-month peaks to take hold in Jan/Feb ’26 and usher in new declines. The NQ-100 fulfilled multi-year upside objectives (timing & price) in late-Oct ’25 and set a likely 6 – 12-month peak at that time.
Other indexes are expected to set final highs in 1Q ’26 – some in January ’26 and others in February ’26 – as this overall topping process unfolds. Intermediate lows are projected for the days surrounding February 6/9th & March 6/9th, ’26… as part of this overall sequence. The NQ-100 is projected to set a series of 1 – 2 week lows on Jan 21/22nd, Feb 6/9, Feb 19/22 & March 6/9, ’26 as part of this process.
How Would NQ-100 Confirm Late-Oct ’25 Cycle Peak?
Why is S+P 500 Projecting Late-Jan ’26 Peak?
What Would Validate ‘Eerie Parallel’ Scenario?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.