Stock Indexes Reinforce Projected Rallies into Dec ‘25; Russell 2K Triple Top Concurs.
09-20-25 – “Stock indexes remain in multi-month uptrends… The stronger indexes could spike higher to begin the week. A peak on Sept 22 – 26th would perpetuate a ~2-month/~60-degree geometric cycle that has timed successive highs in late-Sept & late-Nov ’24, then in late-Jan & late-March ’25, and then in late-May & late-July 2025.
Reinforcing that is a ~1-month/~30-degree Cycle Progression that has repeatedly timed turning points on the 21st – 23rd of the month, creating a low (April 21) – low (May 23) – low (June 23) – high (July 23) – high (Aug 22) – (high; Sept 22/23, ’25) Cycle Progression.
The DJTA could corroborate this by quickly extending its developing sell-off right after those spike highs. It appears likely to extend its decline into late-Sept and perpetuate an ~8-week low-low-low-low-(low; Sept 22 – 29, ’25) Cycle Sequence. A daily close below 15,400/DJTA would corroborate.
A drop below 15,000/DJTA – lasting into Sept 26 – 30th – would help it perpetuate a ~5-month high-high-low-high-high-high-
The real key – for the subsequent 1 – 2-month outlook – would be whether or not the Transports can generate a weekly close below 15,054/DJTA on Sept 26th…
On a related note, the IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) just retested its Nov ’21 & Nov ’24 highs and a decisive upside range target that has been in place for several years. While this potential ‘triple top’ could be a harbinger of future higher highs, it is also the ideal time for a reactive sell-off.
Stock indices are mixed with the DJTA waiting to confirm a higher-magnitude reversal… it could spur an overall sell-off into October 10/13, ’25.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes remain in overall uptrends, expected to extend into Dec ’25 – when a consistent ~13-month Cycle Progression next recurs. A more significant peak is expected at that time, dovetailing with the latest phases of the ~2-Year Cycle and a related ~4-Year Cycle Progression.
The Russell 2000 just set a triple-top – a pattern that ultimately leads to new highs in the subsequent weeks or months. The DJTA could reinforce that with an intermediate low in the coming week(s). October 10/13th cycle lows should spur new rally.
The Sept 3, 2025 Weekly Re-Lay Alert reiterated the outlook for the rest of 2025 and expectations for a dangerous period between Dec ’25 and March/April ’26. It stated:
9-03-25 – “…there is the pair of pivotal cycles in the second half of 2025 – both of which were/are likely to time the culmination of significant rallies and usher in critical tops. The first of those was in late-July/early-August…
The second cycle peak arrives in Dec ’25 and has been cited in previous analysis regarding these two time periods. Among other things, it is the next phase of a ~13-month low (Sept ’22) – low (Oct ’23) – high (Nov ’24) – (high; Dec ’25) Cycle Progression.
Perhaps more significant is its connection to the ~2-Year Cycle and the over-arching ~4-Year Cycle.
The ~2-Year Cycle was examined frequently in late-2021/early-2022 – when a 6 – 12-month peak was forecast for Jan 2022. At the time, it was fulfilling a ~2-Year low (Jan/Feb ’14) – low (Jan/Feb ’16) – high (Jan ’18) – high (Jan ’20) – (high; Jan 2022) Cycle Progression and projected to spur a 6 – 9 month drop.
Two phases later is ~January 2026 and closely dovetails with that Dec ’25 (~13-month) cycle peak.
That is also the next phase of the over-arching ~4-Year low (Jan ’14) – high (Jan ’18) – high (Jan ’22) – (high; January 2026) Cycle Progression…It would be a more ‘pure’ cycle peak if new highs were seen at that time…” – End of excerpt from Sept 3, 2025 Weekly Re-Lay Alert
Will Stocks Ultimately Rally into Late-2025?
What Did Early-’25 Plunge ‘4-Shadow’ for 2026?
Why is Dec ’25 – March/April ’26 Vulnerable?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.