Stock Indexes Reinforcing ‘Eerie Parallels’; NQ-100 Fulfils Oct 28/29th Cycle Peak.
11-01-25 – “Stock indexes mostly rallied to new highs after dropping sharply on October 10th but failing to turn their daily trends down. The NQ-100 rallied into daily cycles on Oct 28/29th as the S+P Midcap steadily declined and turned its daily trend down. A drop below its Oct 10th low could confirm a 1 – 2-month peak…
Stock Indices remain in overall uptrends but mixed on a 1 – 2 week basis. The DJTA remains the weakest and has gone the longest since setting its intra-year peak in July ’25. It needs a weekly close below 15,054/DJTA, however, to turn its weekly trend down.
The ‘most bullish index’ has alternated, based on what criteria are used to define that. The DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100 maintain strong uptrends and rallied into Oct 28/29th and fulfilled a 13 – 14 trading day high-low-high-high Cycle Sequence.
The S+P Midcap 400 is more mediocre – remaining in a ~2.5-month trading range that has support at the Aug 21st & Oct 10th lows…
Stock indices are mixed with the IDX turning its daily trend down as it fulfills the potential for a late-Oct/early-Nov sell-off that could break below the Oct 10th low (and stretch into Nov 7/10th).
The more bullish NQ-100 fulfilled projections for a rally into Oct 28/29th – perpetuating a 13 – 14 trading day high-low-high-high Cycle Sequence. It has initially reversed lower but would not turn its daily trend down – and confirm a 1 – 2 week peak – until a daily close below 25,853/NQZ.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes remain in overall uptrends, expected to extend into Dec ’25 in most indexes – when a consistent ~13-month Cycle Progression next recurs. A more significant peak is expected at that time, dovetailing with the latest phases of the ~2-Year Cycle and a related ~4-Year Cycle Progression.
The NQ-100 had daily & weekly Cycle Progressions most synergistic on Oct 28/29th – when a multi-week peak was likely. Subsequent price action should clarify how significant that would be.
The Sept 3, 2025 Weekly Re-Lay Alert reiterated the outlook for the rest of 2025 and expectations for a dangerous period between Dec ’25 and March/April ’26. It stated:
9-03-25 – “…there is the pair of pivotal cycles in the second half of 2025 – both of which were/are likely to time the culmination of significant rallies and usher in critical tops. The first of those was in late-July/early-August…
The second cycle peak arrives in Dec ’25 and has been cited in previous analysis regarding these two time periods. Among other things, it is the next phase of a ~13-month low (Sept ’22) – low (Oct ’23) – high (Nov ’24) – (high; Dec ’25) Cycle Progression.
Perhaps more significant is its connection to the ~2-Year Cycle and the over-arching ~4-Year Cycle.
The ~2-Year Cycle was examined frequently in late-2021/early-2022 – when a 6 – 12-month peak was forecast for Jan 2022. At the time, it was fulfilling a ~2-Year low (Jan/Feb ’14) – low (Jan/Feb ’16) – high (Jan ’18) – high (Jan ’20) – (high; Jan 2022) Cycle Progression and projected to spur a 6 – 9 month drop.
Two phases later is ~January 2026 and closely dovetails with that Dec ’25 (~13-month) cycle peak.
That is also the next phase of the over-arching ~4-Year low (Jan ’14) – high (Jan ’18) – high (Jan ’22) – (high; January 2026) Cycle Progression…It would be a more ‘pure’ cycle peak if new highs were seen at that time…” – End of excerpt from Sept 3, 2025 Weekly Re-Lay Alert
Will Stocks Ultimately Peak in Dec 2025?
What Did Early-’25 Plunge ‘4-Shadow’ for 2026?
Why is Dec ’25 – March/April ’26 Vulnerable?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.