Stock Indexes Setting Multi-Week Peaks; Project Oct ’25 Pullback & Rally into Dec ’25.
09-27-25 – “Stock indexes remain in multi-month uptrends but have mostly fulfilled the upside objectives stemming from the early-April cycle lows & reversal signals. The stronger indexes fulfilled analysis for a spike higher into Sept 22/23 and are on the cusp of triggering 1 – 2 week reversals lower…
Stock Indices initially fulfilled cycle highs on Sept 22 – 26th – perpetuating a ~2-month/~60-degree geometric cycle that timed successive highs in late-Sept & late-Nov ’24, late-Jan & late-March ’25, and late-May & late-July 2025.
Reinforcing that was a ~1-month/~30-degree Cycle Progression that repeatedly timed turning points on the 21st – 23rd of the month, creating a low (April 21) – low (May 23) – low (June 23) – high (July 23) – high (Aug 22) – (high; Sept 22/23, ’25) Cycle Progression. (A high at this time would project a future high in late-Nov ’25 – 1 year from the major peaks in 3 – 4 of the main indexes.)
The DJIA also fulfilled a ~12-week (82 – 87-day) low-low-high-(high; Sept 22 – 26, ’25) Cycle Progression with the recent high… and did that while spiking up to weekly & monthly resistance & Raw SPRs (46,690 & 46,752/DJIA)…
The DJTA could still lead this sell-off, and still remains below its late-July ’25 cycle peak and below its late-Aug ’25 subsequent high, but is failing to break near-term support and accelerate lower. It would not turn negative (from neutral) until [reserved for subscribers]…
Stock indices initially sold off from their Sept 23rd respective highs but need daily closes below their Sept 25th lows to turn the 1 – 2 week trends down. Until that occurs, the trends are up.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes remain in overall uptrends, expected to extend into Dec ’25 – when a consistent ~13-month Cycle Progression next recurs. A more significant peak is expected at that time, dovetailing with the latest phases of the ~2-Year Cycle and a related ~4-Year Cycle Progression.
The Russell 2000 set a triple-top – a pattern that ultimately leads to new highs in the subsequent weeks or months (often after an intervening pullback). The DJTA could reinforce that if it fails to turn its weekly trend down. October 10/13th cycle lows should spur new rallies in many indexes.
The Sept 3, 2025 Weekly Re-Lay Alert reiterated the outlook for the rest of 2025 and expectations for a dangerous period between Dec ’25 and March/April ’26. It stated:
9-03-25 – “…there is the pair of pivotal cycles in the second half of 2025 – both of which were/are likely to time the culmination of significant rallies and usher in critical tops. The first of those was in late-July/early-August…
The second cycle peak arrives in Dec ’25 and has been cited in previous analysis regarding these two time periods. Among other things, it is the next phase of a ~13-month low (Sept ’22) – low (Oct ’23) – high (Nov ’24) – (high; Dec ’25) Cycle Progression.
Perhaps more significant is its connection to the ~2-Year Cycle and the over-arching ~4-Year Cycle.
The ~2-Year Cycle was examined frequently in late-2021/early-2022 – when a 6 – 12-month peak was forecast for Jan 2022. At the time, it was fulfilling a ~2-Year low (Jan/Feb ’14) – low (Jan/Feb ’16) – high (Jan ’18) – high (Jan ’20) – (high; Jan 2022) Cycle Progression and projected to spur a 6 – 9 month drop.
Two phases later is ~January 2026 and closely dovetails with that Dec ’25 (~13-month) cycle peak.
That is also the next phase of the over-arching ~4-Year low (Jan ’14) – high (Jan ’18) – high (Jan ’22) – (high; January 2026) Cycle Progression…It would be a more ‘pure’ cycle peak if new highs were seen at that time…” – End of excerpt from Sept 3, 2025 Weekly Re-Lay Alert
Will Stocks Ultimately Rally into Late-2025?
What Did Early-’25 Plunge ‘4-Shadow’ for 2026?
Why is Dec ’25 – March/April ’26 Vulnerable?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.