Stocks Fulfill 17-Year Cycle… Again! Focus on Future Cycles in July & October ’26.
04-30-26 – “Stock Indices fulfilled the outlook for a large sell-off in Feb/March ’26 – dropping into (and bottoming during) the week of March 30 – April 2, ‘26, the ideal week for a multi-month bottom. That fulfilled diverse Cycle Progressions, cycles, & wave retracement targets in multiple indexes.
They bottomed precisely on March 30, ‘26 – the ideal date for a multi-month low.
A myriad of reasons were published prior to March 30th – explaining why that was the date with the greatest synergy of related cycles & indicators… and why a low on that date would pave the way for a rally into late-April ‘26 and a potential overall advance into July ‘26 (see inset on page 5).
As described earlier this year, it also fulfilled a repeat of one of the most uncanny multi-year cycles in stock indexes (and in Middle East wars; both of which were again validated)…
17-Year Cycle
2026 is a full 17-Year Cycle from the culmination of the previous (related) 17-Year Cycle stock market decline in 2009. A precise 17-Year Cycle from the March 2009 low heightened the focus on March 2026 for an important low. To reiterate from late-2025 and early-2026:
2-27-26 – “There is a good chance another 30 – 50% decline could… already be unfolding in many key stocks – in 2026… Since the late-Oct ‘25 peak, related stocks have plunged – many of them already fulfilling the outlook for a new 25 – 50% decline in line with the 17-Year Cycle of Stock Market Declines. They include:
MSFT – Down 31+%
AMZN – Down 24+%
META – Dropped ~27%
AMD – Down ~29%
NFLX – Down ~40%
NVDA – Down ~20%
ORCL – Down 60+% (since Sept ‘25)
TSLA – Down ~22% from late-Dec into early-Feb.”
By the time they bottomed, the final tally was:
MSFT – Down ~36%
META – Dropped ~35%
AMD – Down ~30%
NFLX – Down ~40%
NVDA – Down ~23%
ORCL – Down 61+% since Sept ‘25
TSLA – Down ~32% from late-Dec ‘25
Other tech-related 17-Year Cycle plunges were:
CRM – Down 55+% from 2025 peak
GOOGL – Down ~22%
AVGO – Down ~30% from Dec ‘25
PLTR – Down ~41% from Nov ‘25
IBM – Down ~32% from Nov ‘25
For the second time in ~18 months, many bellwether stocks suffered 30 – 40+% declines – fulfilling the 17-Year Cycle of Stock Market Declines.
Price Filters/Validates Time
It was not only the myriad timing indicators that projected a multi-month low for ~March 30, 2026. Price indicators & objectives concurred…
At the time, the DJIA plunged right to its multi-month target (~45,000) as the NQ-100 attacked its 3 – 6-month target (~23,200/NQ) while related indicators honed the most likely time for a low to be on March 30, ’26.
That is when and where they bottomed – fulfilling those targets and portending an April rally.
During this April rally, the S+P 500 & NQ-100 turned their weekly trends back up while most other indexes did not. That could lead to volatile swings into July ’26 – with some indexes spiking to new intra-year lows during an intervening decline (into ~mid-June ’26??).
In theory (based on this weekly trend divergence), stock indices could decline in May ’26… That would then pave the way for those indexes to rally to new highs (even if only slightly) into July ’26 as the DJIA, et al rally to lower highs.
The weekly trend indicators – and other related price indicators – would need to corroborate that potential scenario before it becomes a primary focus for stock indexes.
May ’26 is an intriguing month for a few indexes, most notably the Russell 2000:
In Dec ’18 – Jan ’20, the Russell 2000 rallied for ~13 months before entering a major decline.
In March ’20 – March ’21, the Russell 2000 rallied for ~12 months before consolidating (into year-end) and then entering a major decline.
In June ’22 – July ’23, the Russell 2000 rallied for ~13 months before giving back all those gains – another major decline.
In Oct ’23 – Nov ’24, the Russell 2000 rallied for ~13 months before giving back most of those gains… yet another major decline.
In April ’25 – May ’26, the Russell 2000 has rallied for almost 13 months…
Will history repeat itself?
DJIA Corroboration
As stated in the April ‘26 INSIIDE Track, “A low on March 30 – April 3, ’26 would also fulfill a ~51-week low (Apr 24 – 28 ’23) – low (Apr 15 – 19, ’24) – low (Apr 7 – 11, ’25) – (low; March 30 – April 2, ’26) Cycle Progression.
All things (timing indicators) considered, March 30th is the ideal date for an intermediate low…
The week of March 30 – April 2, ’26 is one of two ideal weeks for the DJIA to set another multi-month low – which it has done every 25 – 26 weeks since Oct ’23…
It is attacking its 1 – 2-month (minimum) downside target near 45,000 – bringing a critical price factor into this equation and significantly increasing the potential for a multi-week low in late-March ‘26. Weekly trends & HLS levels concur.”
By setting a low on March 30, ‘26, the DJIA perpetuated this geometric, ~6-month/~180-degree cycle and projected a future low for late-Sept/early-Oct ‘26. The intervening action could take a few different routes, depending on whether the DJIA sets new highs in the coming month.
A low in Oct ‘26 would also fulfill a related 18-month low (Oct ‘23) – low (April ‘25) – (low; Oct ‘26) Cycle Progression. It could also fulfill another example of wave (timing) symmetry…
3 – 6 month & 6 – 12-month traders and investors could have lightened up on long positions in Jan/Feb ’26 – in anticipation of a 1Q ‘26 sell-off.
That was fulfilled on March 30, ’26 and the ensuing rally has taken many indexes back to their highs. A multi-week correction is expected in May/June ’26 but daily & weekly indicators need to hone the timing…
Crude Oil, Unleaded Gas & Heating Oil resumed their rallies after correcting into mid-April ’26 and fulfilling the convergence of a unique web of ~9-week, ~18-week & ~36-week low-low-low Cycle Progressions that helped pinpoint the Dec 15 – 19, ‘25 low.
That Dec 15 – 19, ‘25 low perpetuated an over-arching ~8-month/34 – 36-week high (April ‘23) – low (Dec ’23) – low (Aug ’24) – low (April ’25) – (low; Dec 1 – 19, ’25) Cycle Progression demonstrating a unique web of closely related Cycle Progressions.
The midpoint of that ~8-month CP – and the ideal time for an intervening (higher) low was near mid-April ‘26 & aligned with the Date of Aggression.
Sure enough, the energy complex corrected into April 17th and then reversed higher on April 20th – pivoting in precise sync with the Date of Aggression ‘26.
That is when Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and then the US seized an Iranian-flagged ship (Touska), triggering vows of retaliation from Iran. The oil markets have headed higher ever since.
Like several other markets, the energy complex powerfully validated the ‘opening range’ of the new Natural Year (from March 20 – April 19th) – entering a new and potentially more dangerous advance in sync with the April 19th Date of Aggression.
Oil and oil-related stocks are currently diverging.
The XLE & XOI surged into and peaked in late-March ‘26, fulfilling a ~23-month high (Jly ’18) – high (June ’20) – high (May ’22) – high (April ’24) – (high; Mar ’26) Cycle Progression & a ~6-month/~26-week high (Oct ’23) – high (Apr ’24) – high (Oct ’24) – high/low (Mar/Apr ’25) – high (Sept 22-26 ’25) – (high; Mar 23 – 27, ’26) Cycle Sequence.
On a broader basis, Unleaded Gas has a consistent ~4-year cycle that timed peaks (at least 6 – 12 months & often 1 – 2 years in duration) in May – July 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018 & 2022… and has been projecting a similar peak in May – July 2026.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes have surged from a powerful convergence of daily, weekly & monthly Cycle Progressions and timing indicators on March 30, ’26. Many indexes also fulfilled major downside price objectives at their late-March ’26 lows – setting decisive lows that could hold for many months.
That ushered in a multi-month bottom in sync with an uncanny geometric cycle in the DJIA (Oct ’26 is next phase) and the textbook scenario for the ~8-Month Cycle Progression in the NQ-100. The NQ-100 projected a 2 – 3-month surge to follow. As described in late-March ’26:
3-30-26 – “Stock Indices are fulfilling the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26… They have stretched their declines into the late-March/early-April ’26 time frame – the ideal ~2-week period for a 1 – 2 month low to take hold… A low on March 30 – April 3, ’26 would also fulfill a ~51-week low (Apr 24 – 28 ’23) – low (Apr 15 – 19, ’24) – low (Apr 7 – 11, ’25) – (low; March 30 – April 2, ’26) Cycle Progression.
All things (timing indicators) considered, March 30th is the ideal date for an intermediate low…
The DJTA (Transportation Average) is reinforcing this… it turned its daily trend up… portending a quick, reactive 2 – 3 day pullback before a larger rally. The 3rd day of that reactive 2 – 3-day pullback is today – March 30th. It has not even neutralized its daily uptrend, reinforcing the potential for a secondary low and the onset of a larger advance.”
The outlook for a powerful surge in energy prices (and GSCI) in 1Q ’26 coincided with that as inflation markets continue to portend trouble in the first half of 2026. That was reinforced by mid-Jan buy signals & subsequent action in Crude & the products. Unleaded Gas should stretch a more significant peak into at least May ’26 – when broader monthly Cycle Progressions peak. However, oil stocks may have already set multi-month peaks while fulfilling a myriad of Cycle Progressions in late-March ‘26.
What Does Equity/Energy Connection Bode for May/June ’26?
…And What About October 2026??
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.