Stocks Fulfilling Projected Drops & Lows; Project Focus to late-Sept & late-Nov ‘25.
08-20-25 – “It is often beneficial to review & reinforce critical principles of trading and cycles. Some of those principles involve the interplay between subsequent facets of a Cycle Progression and/or the interplay between larger phases and smaller phases of related cycles. Currently, Gold is providing a good example of these relationships between corroborating cycles.
From a much broader perspective, the cyclic outlook for Gold has remained constant for over a year. It was projected to rally into late-October ’24 and set a multi-month top during that phase of its recurring 27 – 28-week & overriding 54 – 59-week cycle & Cycle Progression.
It did exactly that.
That led to a quick correction into mid-November ’24 that held key support levels and triggered a new (bullish) weekly trend signal.
That was projected to generate a new multi-month rally – forecast to peak in late-April/early-May ’25 (the ensuing phase of that same 27 – 28-week Cycle Progression) and enter a larger correction.
Gold obliged and peaked on April 22nd.
That would, and did, turn focus to late-Oct/early-Nov ’25 (greater synergy in Nov ’25) – when a subsequent high was/is considered likely during the next phase of both the 27 – 28-week AND the 54 – 59-week Cycle Progression.
That remains the case.
Ideally, Gold would not turn its weekly trend down during the intervening correction. (If it did, that would alter where, but not if or when, the next high is most likely.)…
On a longer-term basis, Gold could/would fulfill a collection of corroborating wave symmetry examples if it extended its overall advance into 2027… ideally into April/May ‘27.
That is a topic for a more in-depth discussion later.
However, there are a couple key factors that would corroborate that – most notably the potential for future 1 – 2-month (or larger) highs in Oct/Nov ’25 and April/May ’26… future phases of the 27 – 28-week CP. They would reinforce subsequent phases – most notably in April/May 2027. Here are a few more… [reserved for subscribers]…
Stock Indices remain divergent below their highs with the Nasdaq-100 leading the latest sell-off as it plunged after rallying into mid-month and to monthly resistance (two targets for the intra-month uptrend) while mimicking the action of 4Q ’24.
That left open the potential for a quick, sharp drop into Aug 20 – 22nd, which is currently being fulfilled. In addition to a geometric ~1-month/~30-degree low-low cycle – from the April 21, May 23 & June 20/23 lows – Aug 20/21st is the next phase of a low-low-low-(low) Cycle Progression in the NQ-100.
August 21st is the first day the NQ-100 could possibly turn its daily trend down (it would take a daily close below 23,035/NQU to do so) – a setup that often times a multi-day low, whether or not that daily trend turns down. (That lagging/confirming indicator would have more influence on how the next rally unfolds.)…
On a very near-term basis, the DJTA again played a pivotal role in setting the recent peak. It spiked higher on Aug 19th – the latest phase of a 16 trading-day high-high-high-high-high-high-
In many of the indexes, the August 1st low has now increased its significance – not only for this 1 – 2 week period but also for the current 1 – 2 month period…
On a 1 – 2 month basis, those lows are taking on added influence since they fulfilled both ~16-week & ~8-week low-low-(low) Cycle Progressions. The next phase of the ~8-week CP is in late-Sept ’25 and the next phase of the ~16-week CP is in late-Nov ’25, so the August 1st lows should have a strong influence on what to expect from both of those cycles.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes are fulfilling projections for quick, sharp drops into August 20 – 22nd – the ideal time for the latest intermediate low. That could trigger a new 2 – 4-week and possible 2 – 4-month advance (into Nov/Dec ‘25) IF specific criteria are met in late-August & early-September. (Another 16 – 18-week rally – if it begins in late-August – would mature in late-2025 when more significant cycles peak.)
~8-Week & ~16-Week Cycle Progressions are bullish and next recur in late-Sept & late-Nov ’25. Monthly trend indicators are being reinforced by intra-year trends turning up in multiple indexes… providing another bullish factor into late-2025. The DJTA is showing greater (relative) weakness than any other index and could trade differently after the August 20 – 22nd cycle low.
Gold cycles bottom around the same time. Watch for 3Q/4Q ’25 rally into Oct ’25. Platinum & Palladium should also bottom in August ’25.
Why Are Stocks (& Gold) Poised to Bottom On/Around August 20 – 22nd?
Are New Multi-Month Rallies Likely to Begin in Late-August?
Do August ‘25 Platinum & Palladium Cycle Lows Corroborate?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.