Stocks Project Imminent High, 2 – 3 Week Drop & Low in Late-August.
07-26-25 – “Stock indexes have rallied into late-July after pulling back into mid-month and to 1 – 2 week support levels without turning their intra-month trends down. This is fulfilling the ongoing 3 – 6 month outlook for a strong rally into late-July (from the early-April lows)…
Stock Indices are fulfilling the latest phase of the outlook for early-July penultimate highs… followed by pullbacks into mid-July… and then followed by rallies to higher highs leading into late-July ’25 – when multi-month cycles peak… the latest phase of a consistent ~35-week high (late-July ‘23) high (late-Mar ’24) – high (late-Nov ’24) – (high; July 24 – 31) Cycle Progression.
That ~35-week cycle represents the recurring ~8-month cycle that helped pinpoint April 3rd – 7th as the most likely time for a multi-month bottom… 8 months from the early-August ’24 low.
That cycle also pinpointed the late-Nov ’24 peak in leading indexes, fulfilling an ~8-month high (late-Nov ’22) – high (late-July ’23) – high (late-Mar ’24) – (high; late-Nov ’24) Cycle Progression. A high in the coming week would also fulfill wave symmetry with the culminating rallies in the latest two advances – in Aug – Nov ’24 & April – late-July ’25 – each lasting 16 weeks in duration.
The S+P Midcap 400 is poised to complete its 4th advance of 16 – 18 weeks (and 4 of 5 similar- duration rallies since the Oct ’22 bottom).
Equally important is price action. Ever since the April 7th lows, the monthly trend indicator in the DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100 has projected a multi-month rally to new all-time highs. The S+P 500 & NQ-100 already fulfilled that. Now, the DJIA is on the cusp of doing the same thing – within striking distance of 45,073/DJIA… its intraday peak.
That is the index that has been viewed as the bellwether for this outlook… and is about to signal this advance has reached its upside targets – in BOTH price AND time. That could come as early as Monday, July 28th.
If an intermediate peak is set this week, it would likely spur a sharp 2 – 3 week decline into late-August ’25 and fulfill an overlapping ~19-week high-low-(low; Aug 20 – 24, ’25) Cycle Progression – linked to the Nov ’24 – April ’25 declines in a majority of the major indexes.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes have mostly fulfilled projections for surges to new all-time highs after fulfilling major 1 – 2-year downside price targets in early-April ’25. Those lows fulfilled related 17-Year Cycle analysis for 20 – 30+% plunges in 2025 and set what should be 6 – 12 month lows in sync with many bullish monthly indicators. This upside fulfillment could trigger a quick round of selling before a new advance (into late-2025/early-2026??) takes hold.
Subsequent cycle lows align in the second half of August ’25 and should usher in a new up cycle. (A new 16 – 18-week rally could begin in late-August and mature in late-2025.) Monthly & weekly trend indicators are positive and are being reinforced by intra-year trends turning up in multiple indexes. With this occurring near/after mid-year, it provides another bullish factor into late-2025.
Silver, Platinum & Palladium are fulfilling the convincing buy signals triggered in early-April – when 6 – 12 month (or 1 – 2 year) bottoms were projected. They are also poised for intermediate cycle peaks in late-July… as part of broader 1 – 2-year advances.
Will New All-Time Highs Trigger a Brief, Reactive Sell-off in Stocks?
How Would Late-July ’25 Highs Reinforce Subsequent Late-2025 Cycle Highs?
How High Can Stocks Surge After Fulfilling 17-Year Cycle Plunge?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.