Stocks Rally from August Cycle Lows; Project Multi-Week/Multi-Month Rallies.
08-23-25 – “Stock indexes remain in multi-month uptrends and just fulfilled the outlook for a quick drop into August 20/21st and are poised to rally to new highs…
Stock Indices rallied sharply after the NQ-100 fulfilled the outlook for a quick, sharp drop into Aug 20 – 22nd and a (minimum) 1 – 2 week low at that time. The tech-laden index dropped into Aug 21st and then spiked lower and reversed higher on August 22nd – leaving its daily uptrend intact.
It precisely fulfilled a geometric ~1-month/~30-degree low-low cycle – from the April 21, May 23 & June 20/23 lows – with Aug 20/21st pinpointing the latest phase of a related low-low-low-(low; Aug 20/21st) Cycle Progression in the NQ-100.
August 21st was also the earliest the NQ-100 could turn its daily trend down – a setup that often times a multi-day low, whether or not that daily trend turns down. In this case, the fact the daily trend did not turn down portends a rally back to its recent high.
Multiple price factors helped pinpoint the recent low. The daily trend indicator was one of them and was corroborated by the NQ-100 spiking down to (and briefly below) its weekly HLS – the extreme downside target for this past week.
It did that while almost perfectly matching the magnitude of the previous late-July/early-August pullback. The daily HLS indicator (attacked on Aug 20th, increasing the likelihood for a low and reversal higher on August 21st or 22nd) added to the synergy projecting that recent low.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes fulfilled projections for quick, sharp drops into August 20 – 22nd – the ideal time for the latest intermediate low. That was/is expected to trigger a new 2 – 4-week and possible 2 – 4-month advance (into Nov/Dec ‘25) IF specific criteria are met in late-August & early-September. (Another 16 – 18-week rally – if it begins in late-August – would mature in late-2025 when more significant cycles peak.)
~8-Week & ~16-Week Cycle Progressions are bullish and next recur in late-Sept & late-Nov ’25. Monthly trend indicators are being reinforced by intra-year trends turning up in multiple indexes… providing another bullish factor into late-2025.
Gold cycles also bottomed at the same time and portend a new rally into Oct/Nov ‘25. Platinum & Palladium are similar.
Will August Cycle Lows Spur New Multi-Month Rallies in Stocks & Gold?
How Does That Tie Into Multi-Month Stock Cycle Highs in late-‘25?
What Did Early-’25 Plunge ‘4-Shadow’ for 2026?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.