Stocks Reinforcing Aug ’26 Peaks; Portend Divergent Drops into Late-Sept ‘26.
08-29-26 – “Stock indexes rebounded but remain (mostly) in daily downtrends, increasing the likelihood for a larger decline in Sept ‘26. The NQ-100 weekly trend & 21 MAC continue to trace out a multi-month topping process – a little similar to 4Q ’25 – and could see a new reversal lower in the coming week…
Stock Indices continue to trace out a new (multi-week/month) topping process that has been led by the NQ-100 – not unlike several previous multi-month tops (including 4Q ’25).
All of the indexes sold off into August 25/26th, the time that was projected to trigger an initial low and spur a multi-day bounce… The interesting aspect of that C.P. is its next phase – in late-Sept ’26.
That is the same time the DJIA has a multi-year Cycle Progression recurring AND also the ~6-month/~180-degree C.P. that helped time the late-March ’26 low… while projecting a future 1 – 2-month low for late-Sept/early-Oct ’26…
Stock indices produced multiday bounces without turning their daily trends back up. That increases the likelihood for a new decline to take hold at any time.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
The NQ-100 has rebounded after fulfilling analysis for an overall decline into late-July ’26 and to multi-month support at ~27,400/NQ. The NQ-100 attacked ~27,400 on July 29th – precisely fulfilling that analysis. That level should be viewed as 1 – 3-month support until broken.
In the DJIA and other indexes, the projected August bounce, which is likely complete, is ‘casting shadows ahead’ to Sept/Oct ’26… and then to an even more decisive period in 4Q ‘26! An ongoing decline – in the weaker indexes – could stretch from mid-August into late-Sept/early-Oct ’26!
On an intra-year basis, Stock Indexes surged from a powerful convergence of daily, weekly & monthly Cycle Progressions and timing indicators that projected (well in advance) a multi-month bottom on March 30, ’26. That set the stage for the remainder of 2026 and provided some revealing clues for Sept – Nov ‘26 – including the likely timing of future multi-month lows. As described in late-March ’26:
3-30-26 – “Stock Indices are fulfilling the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26… They have stretched their declines into the late-March/early-April ’26 time frame – the ideal ~2-week period for a 1 – 2 month low to take hold… A low on March 30 – April 3, ’26 would also fulfill a ~51-week low (Apr 24 – 28 ’23) – low (Apr 15 – 19, ’24) – low (Apr 7 – 11, ’25) – (low; March 30 – April 2, ’26) Cycle Progression.
All things (timing indicators) considered, March 30th is the ideal date for an intermediate low…
The DJTA (Transportation Average) is reinforcing this… it turned its daily trend up… portending a quick, reactive 2 – 3 day pullback before a larger rally. The 3rd day of that reactive 2 – 3-day pullback is today – March 30th. It has not even neutralized its daily uptrend, reinforcing the potential for a secondary low and the onset of a larger advance.”
How Would Plunge into Late-Sept ’26 Impact 4Q ’26 Outlook?
See current Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for the most updated analysis.