Wheat Peaks in Lockstep with Early-March ’22 Cycle High; Solar Cycles Concur.
Outlook 2022/2023 – Cause & Effect?
03-30-22 – One of the underlying factors involved in the dramatic events of March 2020 – March 2022 (a period of two ‘Natural Years’) is the developing Solar Cycle. As documented many times before, there has been an uncanny sequence of related events on a roughly 11-Year Cycle basis – the same cycle that governs the ebb and flow of sunspots and solar storms.
In the March ‘19 INSIIDE Track, this cycle was again examined and was used to forecast a new ‘Global-Shaping Event’ that would emerge in late-2019/early-2020 and lead to a ‘Stock Panic’ in early-2020.
It is easy to now see that global shaping event, which triggered a major stock panic, was Covid-19.
It is the other part of that conversation, however, that is now coming to fruition. In that analysis, INSIIDE Track discussed how the initial economic events of that ~11-Year Cycle were often and increasingly leading to military conflicts in the ensuing years.
More importantly, from a longer-term perspective, that analysis concluded that each phase was pushing Russia and China closer together with an ‘enemy of my enemy is my friend’ mentality even as the global order was going through consistent upheaval within 2 – 3 years of the initial 11-Year Cycle event.
~11-Year Cycle of Stock Panics
In 1987, rising interest rates led to a global stock crash. 2 – 3 years later, Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait triggered the Persian Gulf War and shifted or solidified the global order.
In 1997 & 1998, the Asian Financial Crisis was followed by the Russian Ruble Crisis and soon followed by the events of 9/11, which shifted or solidified the global order.
In 2008 – 2009, the subprime triggered real estate and stock market meltdown was soon followed by the Arab Spring that shifted or solidified the global order.
In 2019 – 2020, a global-shaping event and stock market panic was projected to usher in War Cycles beginning in late-2021 (and stretching through 2025 – the same time that scientists now project the peak of Solar Cycle 25) – a period of anticipated military conflict that was forecast to push Russia & China closer together and shift or solidify the global order.
Solar & Earth-Based Instability
Those War Cycles were forecast to coincide with (and be very closely linked to) a surprisingly disruptive Solar Cycle (#25) from late-2019 into 2025 – leading to intensifying earth instability in the form of earthquakes and then volcanoes…
Soybeans, Corn & Wheat surged on the Russia/Ukraine conflict with Wheat leading the way in sync with its weekly & monthly cycles as well as its weekly & monthly trend and 21 MAC buy signals of Jan ‘22.
That was forecast to trigger an overall advance into Mar 7 – 11, ’22 – the latest phase of a ~15-week high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression. March ’22 was also the latest phase of a ~4-month low-low-low-high-(high) Cycle Progression in Wheat, portending at least a 1 – 2 month peak at that time.
The Weekly Re-Lay explained why Wheat should see a strong surge in the weeks leading into early-March – another example of the 90/10 Rule of Cycles that was confirmed by the Russian invasion of Ukraine and resulting Wheat supply fears.
That led to Wheat spiking above 1300/W, reaching all of its primary objectives for 2022 and retesting its 2008 peak while fulfilling the following analysis from the Dec ‘21 INSIIDE Track:
11-30-21 – “Wheat had signaled a secondary low in Sept. and was expected to initially advance into mid-Nov ’21. That was seen and Wheat – along with Soybeans & Corn – entered corrective phases in late-Nov. That could/should spur intermediate lows in early-Dec. and the onset of a new advance in Wheat…
Wheat remains likely to surge above 950.0/W as part of this unfolding rally. After building a ~4-year base, Wheat’s breakout higher could catapult it to its highest levels since 2008… near 1335/W.”
Since then, Soybeans & Corn have also begun to roll over to the downside, signaling that an intermediate top is in place.”
Wheat (and Gold) are fulfilling analysis for parabolic surges into early-March ’22, when monthly & weekly cycles project a significant peak. This is occurring during the year (2022) when a 40-Year Cycle of Drought & 80-Year Cycle of Agriculture has been forecast to abruptly shift – the same time when parabolic moves are most likely (90/10 Rule of Cycles).
~11-Year, ~40-Year & ~80-Year Cycles collide in 2022 and pinpoint what could be a seismic shift in natural (climate, precipitation, etc.), geopolitical and market cycles at the same time food/commodity inflation cycles culminate. 2022/2023 is expected to produce major disruptions including climate shifts (Drought/Deluge Cycles) and solar storms.
On a 1 – 3 year basis, Corn has a 3-year low (July ‘07) – low (Jun ‘10) – high (July ‘13) – high (June ‘16) – high (May/Jun ‘19) – high (May/June 2022) Cycle Progression – projecting the next 1 – 2 year peak in the coming months. Wheat had a ~6-year low (‘04) – low (‘10) – low (‘16) – high (2022) Cycle Progression and a reinforcing ~33-month low (3Q ‘16) – low (2Q ‘19) – high (1Q 2022) Cycle Progression that was just fulfilled (along with corroborating weekly cycles and the test of major upside price targets) in early-March ’22. Soybeans had an ~8-month Cycle Progression that was also just fulfilled… with the peak in ~Jan ’22.
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.