DJIA & Stock Indexes Portend More Downside into Late-March, Then April ’26 Rally.
03-21-26 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following multi-year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26. Both the weekly trends & weekly 21 MACs have generated negative (multi-month) signals and could see a pair of lows… before this intermediate decline is complete…
Stock Indices are fulfilling the outlook for another large sell-off after peaking in lockstep with 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions that had projected (since the April ’25 low) an overall rally into a Jan/Feb ’26 peak, followed by a steep drop.
The NQ-100 led the related topping process, fulfilling a myriad of timing indicators and Cycle Progressions that pinpointed late-Oct ’25 as the time for a 3 – 6+ month peak. Since then, it has traced out a weekly 21 MAC reversal sequence, allowing other indexes to set final highs before all of them entered bearish cycles in early-Mar ’26…
The DJIA has set multi-month lows every 25 – 26 weeks since Oct ’23 and has an overlapping 52-week low-low-(low; April 3 – 10, ’26) Cycle Progression that both recur in April ’26 and have been forecast to time a larger-magnitude low.
As a result, any immediate bounce could be short-lived – allowing the DJIA and other indexes to set lower lows in early-April… before a larger-magnitude rebound takes hold.
Stock indices have sold off into March 20th and turned their weekly trends down, fulfilling more critical downside objectives for this overall drop…
1 – 4 week traders could be holding short positions in e-mini S+P futures from 7026 – 7035/ ESM, with avg open gains of ~$23,500/contract. Move risk/exit stops on remaining positions to an intraday rally above xxxx/ESM and trail a buy stop xxx.0/ESM points above each new low.
1/3 of these short positions could have been exited near 6671/ESM w/avg gains of ~$18,000/contract and a second 1/3 could have been exited near 6595/ESM w/avg gains of ~$21,500/contract.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes are fulfilling multi-month sell signals generated on Feb 11 – 13th and then on Feb 25th. Another sharp drop is still projected into late-March/early-April ’26… before a larger rebound takes hold in April ’26. The S+P is focused on pivotal support near 6419/ESM as the NQ-100 remains on target for a multi-month drop to ~23,200/NQ. The DJTA is an outlier that is giving clues surrounding a future high.
The outlook for a powerful surge in energy prices (and GSCI) in 1Q ’26 coincides with that as inflation markets continue to portend trouble in 2026, potentially stretching into 2027. That was reinforced by mid-Jan buy signals & subsequent action in Crude & the products. Unleaded Gas projects an overall advance into the week of March 30 – April 2, ’26.
What Would Late-March/Early-April Stock Cycle Lows Reveal About 2026?
How are Bullish Oil/Energy Cycles Reinforcing Outlook for Jan ’26 – April ’27?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.