Gold & Silver Show New Weakness; Await Bullish Period in Late-Sept/early-Oct ‘23.

09-09-23 – “Gold Silver fulfilled ongoing analysis, since March ’23, for an overall decline from their early-May ’23 highs (that fulfilled multi-month cycles and were projected to be 3 – 6 month peaks) into the 2-week period of Aug 14 – 25, ’23

By setting lows on Aug 15 – 21, Gold & Silver fulfilled the latest phase of a consistent 22 – 23-week high-high-high-high-low-low-(low; Aug 14 – 25, ’23Cycle Progression in which Aug 17 – 22 represented the ideal time (the dates with the greatest synergy of converging cycles) for a bottom.

That dovetailed with Silver’s weekly HLS indicator, projecting a (minimum) 1 – 2 month low by/on Aug 18, ‘23.  Silver fulfilled that and projected a sharp, initial rally from that mid-Aug ’23 low into early-Sept ‘23 – the midpoint of its over-arching ~8-month/35 – 37-week low-low-low-high-(high) Cycle Progression that projects a future peak in Jan ’24.

Silver rallied to new intra-month highs – an Intra-Month V Reversal higher in Aug ’23 – and peaked on Aug 28 – Sept 1, perpetuating a ~17 (16 – 18)-week low-low-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression that reinforces the future cycle peak in Jan ’24 (next phase of that ~17-week cycle is Dec 26 – Jan 5, ’24).

It peaked after testing its slightly-descending weekly 21 High MAC (25.24/SIZ on Sept 1) while twice neutralizing its weekly downtrend.

Silver would not turn that weekly trend up, and confirm a multi-month bottom, until a weekly close above 25.42/SI… the weekly 21 MARCs and other price/timing indicators do not usher in a potentially bullish period until mid-Sept ’23, at the very earliest… some time between mid-Sept & mid-Oct ’23, based on those indicators.

That is also the most likely time for a strong rally in line with the 90/10 Rule of Cycles and analysis for the majority of this next advance to take hold in the weeks leading into late-Oct/early-Nov ’23. 

Gold Silver rallied into early-Sept ’23 and then corrected in line with weekly cycles.  Silver fell short of initial upside expectations, due in part to the fact it has not yet confirmed a 1 – 2 month low.”


Gold & Silver fulfilled projections for a quick surge into early-Sept ’23 when a multi-week high had been projected.  That corroborates future cycle highs projected for late-Oct/early-Nov ’23 and more significantly in Jan ‘24.  They were not able to turn intermediate indicators positive and are seeing more weakness, in the short-term, than what was expected.  That does not, however, alter expectations for the weeks leading into early-Nov ’23.

The action since late-2022 is powerfully validating the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War in which Gold & Silver possess unique potential for late-2023 – late-2024!  The 90/10 Rule of Cycles in Gold continues to project a sharp advance in Oct ’23 – in the final weeks leading into a (potential) early-Nov ’23 peak.

 

Where are Metals Likely to Rally in 4Q ’23? Will Middle East War Cycles Have an Impact??

How Does 90/10 Rule of Cycles Project Sharp Rally in October ’23?

Why are early-Nov ’23 Cycle Highs the Key to 2024 Outlook?

 

Refer to the April 11, 2023 special issue of The Bridge – Gold, Silver and Elliott Wave Structure – and subsequent reports – for expanded analysis and charts.

 

Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.