Silver Confirming Jan. 26 Sell Signal

Silver Confirming Jan. 26 Sell Signal;
Gold Stocks Reinforce Underlying Weakness…
Sharp Drop into March 5 – 9 Likely.

02/03/18 Weekly Re-Lay:

“Gold, Silver & the XAU validated the outlook for a multi-week corrective phase.  Energy markets are also nearing a critical peak…

Gold & Silver reversed lower immediately after Gold reached its ~2-month upside target (1365.8/GCG, 1370.0/GCJ) & Silver turned its weekly 21 MAC down.

Combined with the weekly trend signal in Silver & a powerful convergence of weekly & monthly cycles in Gold (and with the XAU precisely fulfilling its January & 1 – 2 month upside target), the action of Jan. 25 & 26 was expected to trigger a 1 – 3 week correction.

That action completed the early-Dec. buy signals and ushered in the time for a… larger-degree correction.  That could involve a 1 – 2 week low being set in the coming week, the latest phase of a ~60-degree/2-month high-high-low-low-low-(low) Cycle Progression in Silver.

More recent related lows – in Dec. & Jan. – could push that closer to Feb. 9, so price action will have to clarify this.  One of the key price levels involves a significant convergence of intermediate support & 1 – 2 week downside targets in Gold…

Gold has this decisive range at 1309.3 – 1316.3/GCJ – a level that could be tested in the coming week.  That range encompasses 2 of the latest 3 weekly HLS levels, the 2017 closing level, the weekly 21 High AMAC, the monthly Raw SPS & the levels of previous highs in April, June & October – multi-month resistance turned into support.

If Gold spikes down to this support [reserved for subscribers].

Silver, in contrast, continues to languish and remains in a more bearish configuration – reinforcing its weekly 21 MAC downtrend while neutralizing its weekly uptrend AND turning its intra-year trend down.  It could easily see a spike down to its monthly HLS – at 16.295/SIH.

The XAU has dropped sharply after perfectly fulfilling its January (and 1 – 2 month) upside target at 92.87 – 93.06.  That completed the projected surge from early-Dec. and attained the upside objective for this latest advance – providing ‘the ideal scenario for a multi-week top’.

It has already turned its weekly 21 MAC and its intra-year trends down while neutralizing its weekly uptrend.  That should spur additional downside in the near term.

A drop to [reserved for subscribers].

Weekly cycles are projecting the next multi-week low in early-March, even as intervening daily cycles converge on Feb. 7 – 9 and could time an initial, 1 – 2 week low.

Early-March is the next phase of a 90-degree/3-month high-low-(low) Cycle Progression and a 360-degree move from the early-March 2017 bottom…

Gold & Silver reversed lower after Gold surged right to its Sept. 2017 peak – the 1 – 2 month upside target.  Gold did that while Silver spiked to the upper ranges of intermediate resistance and turned its weekly 21 MAC down.  That was expected to spur a 2 – 4 week correction, which has taken hold.”


Gold, Silver & Gold stocks (XAU) confirming Jan. 25 – 26 sell signals and projecting initial sell-off into Feb. 9, with an overall decline (at least in XAU) into March 5 – 9 expected.  The potential for that to ‘coincide with at least one significant sell-off in the overall equity markets’ is already coming to fruition.  A second stock market sell-off could be seen in early-March.  On a 1 – 2 year basis, XAU remains much weaker than Gold and could dive back towards its ultimate downside target as it drops into early-March.

See Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track for additional analysis and/or trading strategies.