Soybeans, Corn & Wheat Poised for Accelerated Surges; Ag & Drought/Deluge Cycles (2021/2022) Concur!
“Outlook 2020/2021 – The Decade Bubble Effect…
04-29-20 – For the past decade, the period of 2020/ 2021 has been forecast to see the culmination of many dramatic events, bubbles, and transitions – much of it linked to the 40-Year Cycle and the overall period of 2013 – 2021… Related analysis in oil continued to project a drop to new lows – below the Dec. ’18 low. It all came together in late-2019 through early-2021.
Synergy
In this case, there was a more intense synergy of exacerbating factors also focused on late-2019/early-2020 as the time when global struggles would escalate exponentially. One of those was a natural phenomenon (it is always the synergy of many cycles or events that gives them their significance)…
Solar Cycle 24 was heading into its low point with Solar Cycle 25 expected to bottom in late-2019 – a transition that historically times dramatic global challenges, most recently in 2008/09 and 1997/98).
Along with that, there was a combination of economic and geopolitical cycles that were also forecast to emerge in late-2019 – mid-2020. That was most definitively described in Feb. ’19 – portending what were labeled as ‘Stock Panic Cycles’ and ‘The Cycle of Global-Shaping Events’ to emerge at the transition of the decade (end of 2019, start of 2020).
As described over a year ago, this cycle times a recurring series of stock market panics, crashes and crises (’crises… stock malaise… larger global collapse’) over the past 160 years and was primed to rear its ugly head in early-2020 – as soon as the most convincing monthly cycle of the past 5 – 10 years had peaked (~16-month cycle in Jan. ‘20).
2-27-19 – “Perhaps the best-known solar cycle is the one that governs the ebb and flow of sunspots or solar storms. It is an ~11-Year Cycle (averages out to 11.2 years) that has an uncanny knack for also linking monetary and military events of cause and effect…
…the last two phases began with the events of 1997 – 1998 (11 years after the stock market crash of 1987) when the economic world was rocked by a pair of crises – the Asian Financial Crisis and the Russian Ruble Crisis… a worldwide stock malaise took hold in 2000 – 2002.
…it was 11 years after the events of 1997 – 1998, in 2008 – 2009, when a larger global collapse ensued… This cycle comes back into play in 2019 – 2020…”
Decade Bubble Bursting
The latest phase of that ~11-Year Cycle (Stock Panics & Global-Shaping Events) was colliding with the culmination of the 40-Year Cycle (2020/2021)…
It was a much higher magnitude example of the KISS theory of cycles and analysis (Keep in Synergistic, Stupid) – when so many corroborating cycles converged. There are some intriguing possibilities surrounding this latest phase…
Soybeans, Corn & Wheat remain in a base-building phase that has been projected to lead to sizeable rallies in mid-March – late-June ‘20. On a larger-magnitude basis, they are expected to [reserved for subscribers; see latest publications for most updated analysis]…
On a continuous basis, Soybeans dropped from the June ‘16 peak into May ‘19 – when they bottomed. From there, they experienced an initial ~8-month rally (into late-Dec./early-Jan. ‘20) and subsequent ~4-month correction (into late-Apr./early-May ‘20).
The Jan. ‘20 peak also perpetuated an ~8-month low (Jan. ‘18) – low (Sept. ‘18) – low (May ‘19) – high (Jan. ‘20) that projects a future peak for Sept. ’20… At the very least, Soybeans should rally above 950.0/S and ideally back to ~1060/S by 3Q ‘20.
If a serious disruption occurred in this growing season (anything appears possible in this new norm), Soybeans could rally as high as 1200/S and return to their mid-2016 peak…
Corn has a different structure than Soybeans, but is testing major multi-year support around 300/C. Wheat is the most positive, on a 2 – 3 year basis, but tested and held 3 – 5 year resistance near 600/W – in Aug. ’18, Jan. ’20 & Mar. ’20. It needs to break above that level to trigger a more accelerated advance (that would likely reach 850 – 900/W).”
Grains are all entering bullish cycles and poised for the onset of new, accelerated advances as they enter the final year(s) of a 40-Year Cycle of Drought & 80-Year Cycle of Agriculture (2016 – 2021) that have had dramatic impacts on crop raising throughout America’s history. Since 2015, the focus on these cycles has projected an increasingly challenging period for crops and food prices leading into 2022 and the ensuing shift to Deluge Cycles (in 2022 and beyond).
~11-Year, ~40-Year & ~80-Year Cycles all converge in 2021/2022 and pinpoint the expected transition of natural, geopolitical and market cycles, at the same time many food cycles also culminate.
That is also when Corn has a corroborating 3-year low (July 2007) – low (Jun 2010) – high (July 2013) – high (June 2016) – high (May/Jun 2019) – high (May/June 2022) Cycle Progression – projecting a 1 – 2 year peak – that was reinforced by a 6 – 12 month peak in May/June 2019.
Wheat has a ~6-year low (2004) – low (2010) – low (2016) – high (2022) Cycle Progression that is being reinforced by a ~33-month low (3Q 2016) – low (2Q 2019) – high (1Q 2022) Cycle Progression. Soybeans have an ~8-month Cycle Progression that portends future peaks in Sept ’20 and then ~May ’21 & ~Jan ’22.
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.