Stock Index Rally Should Last into Late-Nov/Early-Dec & Reach ~34,400/DJIA Before Peaking.

11/21/22 INSIIDE Track Update – “Stock indices remain in strong intermediate uptrends with the DJIA on track for an overall advance to 34,200 – 34,600 or higher – a 4th quarter gain of ~20% that would fulfill the 12-Year & 24-Year Mid-Term Election Cycles… The monthly SPRPLLR & 21 High AMAC converge at 34,794 – 34,847/DJIA.

They have rallied since new bullish signals were generated on Nov 3/4 – projecting additional surges into (at least) mid-Nov and to monthly resistance levels.  After surging into mid-month – with stocks initially peaking in line with a 19 – 22 day high-high-high-high Cycle Progression in the NQ-100 – stock indexes pulled back for a few days – setting the stage for a new 1 – 2-week rally.

The NQ-100 is providing the most precise pattern, pulling back to its Nov 1 high (the high of the month-opening range & current intra-month trend support) and rising daily 21 High MAC while maintaining its daily uptrend.  At the same time, the Russell 2000 and a few key stocks twice neutralized their daily uptrends – ushering in a decisive period when a new rally could/should begin.

Many key indexes also corrected right to their month-opening ranges (now support) and rising daily 21 High MACs – creating the ideal setup for a new (possibly accelerated) rally in the coming days.

Based on their overall wave structure, several indexes are also likely to attack their mid-Aug highs… even if that stretches into Dec. ’22 or Jan ‘23.  Others, like the NQ-100, could fall short.

On Nov 11, the DJIA, DJTA, S+P Midcap 400 & Russell 2000 turned their weekly trends up (a lagging/confirming indicator) – most of them doing that for the first time in 2022.  The Nasdaq-100 cannot do the same until Dec 2, at the earliest, while the S+P 500 could do it on Nov 25 – with a weekly close above 4009/ESZ.  Stocks could try to maintain their uptrends into late-Nov.

1 – 2 month traders could be holding long positions in the DJIA (futures or related stocks) from Oct 20/ 21 and at ~30,210 – 30,350/DJIA.  Risk [reserved for subscribers].”  TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!


Stock indexes are fulfilling projections for the largest advance in 2022 – led by the Dow, which is projected to reach 34,200 – 34,600/DJIA in late-Nov/early-Dec ‘22.  (See Oct & Nov ’22 INSIIDE Tracks for details.)  Daily cycles are reinforcing analysis for an intermediate high to stretch into that time.

Most indexes fulfilled 9 – 12 month downside wave and price targets in Sept/Oct ‘22, projecting a subsequent higher-magnitude rally in 4Q ’22 – back to/toward their mid-Aug ’22 highs.  Oct 13 & 20 buy signals corroborated!  That remains the focus until early-Dec ’22 and ~34,400/DJIA.

How Long Should Late-Sept ’22 Low Hold?

Why was/is Higher-Magnitude Advance Projected for 4Q ‘22??

 

What Would Early-Dec ’22 Peak Signify?

Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.