Stock Indexes Fulfilling Projected Plunges into March 9 – 13th; Poised for Late-March Spike Low.
03-14-26 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling the outlook for a much larger sell-off (than seen in recent months)… The weekly 21 MACs are turning down (in DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100) but need to be confirmed by weekly trends turning down. An initial low is likely on March 16/17th, particularly if some exhaustive (‘blow-off’) selling is seen…
Stock Indices fulfilled the latest phase of projected declines, with the S+P 500 testing and initially holding pivotal support at 6636 – 6650/ESM. It initially bottomed at 6631.5/ESM and then bounced to its declining daily 21 Low MAC – a textbook pattern – before resuming its decline.
More significant support is at 6419 – 6456/ESM and coincides with corresponding levels in the DJIA, NQ-100, and other indexes.
The weekly HLS indicator and weekly Cycle Progressions are setting the stage for a final blow-off spike low… On a broader basis, the DJIA has set multi-month lows every 25 – 26 weeks since Oct ’23 and has an overlapping 52-week low-low-(low; April 3 – 10, ’26) Cycle Progression that both recur in April ’26. That is when a larger-magnitude low could take hold. The DJIA has reached 2 – 4-week downside targets but maintains a 1 – 2 month target near 45,000/DJIA…
1 – 4 week traders could be holding short positions in e-mini S+P futures from 7026 – 7035/ESM, with avg open gains of about $17,200/contract. Move risk/exit stops on remaining positions to [reserved for subscribers]…
1/3 of these short positions should have been exited when 6671/ESM was hit on March 9th, w/ avg gains of about $18,000/contract. Another 1/3 can be exited in the coming days if/when 6467/ESM is hit…” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes are validating multi-month cycle highs (and sell signals) on Feb 11 – 13th. The S+P 500 led the latest reversal and generated an additional sell signal on Feb 25th, projecting an initial sharp decline into March 9 – 13, ’26 … as part of the overall outlook for February – July ’26. (Watch mid-2026 for related Analysis.)
The next (expected) stage is for another sharp drop into late-March/early-April ’26… before a larger rebound – with the S+P targeted to reach 6419/ESM as the NQ-100 remains on target for a multi-month drop to ~23,200/NQ.
The outlook for a powerful surge in energy prices (and GSCI) in 1Q ’26 coincides with that as inflation markets continue to portend trouble in 2026, potentially stretching into 2027. An oil price rally into March 13/16th would corroborate that and was reinforced by mid-Jan buy signals & subsequent action. Unleaded Gas projects an overall advance into the week of March 30 – April 2, ’26.
What Would Late-March/Early-April Stock Cycle Lows Reveal About 2026?
How are Bullish Oil/Energy Cycles Reinforcing Outlook for Jan ’26 – April ’27?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.