Stocks Nearing Targets (~45,000/DJIA, ~6419/ESM & ~23,200/NQ) for Multi-Month Lows!
03-26-26 – “Stock indices have initially fulfilled the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26. However, they could still see lower lows – either in late-March or early-April ’26 – in sync with corroborating indicators and cycles…
The DJIA has set multi-month lows every 25 – 26 weeks since Oct ’23 and has an overlapping 52-week low-low-(low; April 3 – 10, ’26) Cycle Progression that both recur in April ’26 and have been forecast to time a larger-magnitude low.
That is also the time when the NQ-100 would fulfill the ideal scenario based on the ~35 – 36-week Cycle Progression that helped pinpoint the late-Oct ’25 peak.
All of this should be kept in the context of the overall outlook, updated in the March ’26 INSIIDE Track:
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02-27-26 – “Stock Indices are going through a pivotal topping process that could/should see its first solid validation by mid-March ’26. The Weekly Re-Lay just triggered a sell signal on Feb 25th – in the S+P 500 and all related indexes. It was first detailed in the Feb 21st Weekly Re-Lay and then triggered when the S+P 500 hit 6974/ESH…
NQ-100 Topping Process
The NQ-100 has been leading a topping process and is tracing out a weekly 21 MAC reversal sequence that was expected to usher in a Feb/Mar ‘26 decline…
The Nasdaq-100 set a multi-month peak in late-Oct ’25 – fulfilling a myriad of daily, weekly, monthly and even multi-year cycles and timing objectives. On a multi-year basis, that Oct ’25 peak completed the 5th ~3-year advance (since the March ‘09 low) – fulfilling an intriguing series of bull market (wave timing) symmetry with successive rallies in:
- March 2009 – March 2012
- June 2012 – July 2015
- August 2015 – August 2018
- Dec 2018 – Nov 2021
- October 2022 – October 2025
Reinforcing those yearly/monthly ‘cycles’, the NQ-100 fulfilled its 33 – 36-week low (Mar ’23) – low (Oct ‘23) – high (July ‘24) – high (Feb ‘25) – (high; Oct 20 – 31, ’25) Cycle Progression as it was peaking.
The NQ-100 continues to trace out a multi-month top and weekly 21 MAC reversal sequence while increasing the synergy of multi-month downside targets near 23,250/NQH. That 21 MAC sequence was powerfully reinforced – during the month of February – with a weekly close below the 21 Low MAC and a reversal down of its direction.
Not surprisingly, NVDA – one of the primary tech & AI darlings – has been tracing out a similar pattern and is likely to confirm it on the Feb 27th close. The S+P 500 is also tracing out a weekly 21 MAC reversal sequence but needs a weekly close below 6840/ESM as a confirming signal.
17-Year Cycle
2026 is a full 17-Year Cycle from the culmination of the previous (related) 17-Year Cycle stock market decline in 2009. There is a good chance another 30 – 50% decline could occur – and/or already be unfolding in many key stocks – in 2026… a second fulfillment of that uncanny cycle.
Since the late-Oct ‘25 peak, related stocks have plunged – many of them already fulfilling the outlook for a new 25 – 50% decline in line with the 17-Year Cycle of Stock Market Declines. They include:
MSFT – Down 31+%
AMZN – Down 24+%
META – Dropped ~27%
AMD – Down ~29%
NFLX – Down ~40%
NVDA – Down ~20%
ORCL – Down 60+% (since Sept ‘25)
TSLA – Down ~22% from late-Dec into early-Feb
And not to be missed, the stock that was forecast to lead/trigger ‘eerie parallels’ in the market – MSTR – has lost ~77% since its July ‘25 peak and 80+% from its Nov ‘24 peak. It appears the crypto/AI bubble – or at least its ‘over-exuberance’ – is having a reality check… right on schedule.
17-Year Cycle II
There is another 17-Year Cycle that is related to this and is also worth reiterating…
2Q 2026 (~June ’26) is a full 17-Year Cycle from the culmination of the 2008/2009 recession. Cyclically speaking, there is a good chance for the onset of a new phase of recession – potentially mixed with stagflation – around that time.
Stock market action often precedes these occurrences since stocks typically anticipate economic events months in advance (and defining a recession is a lagging, slower-moving affair).
That could also dovetail with interest rate cycles that portend a spike low in rates (high in Bonds & Notes) leading into mid-2026. Hmmm.
As reiterated last issue:
That brings us back to the 40-Year Cycle of Currency War that has been a focus of INSIIDE Track discussions for over a decade. It was projected to usher in a dramatic shift beginning in 2022, immediately after the culmination of the final years of the preceding 40-Year Cycle – in 2016 – 2021.
Prior to and since 2022, INSIIDE Track has repeatedly explained why this new phase should see the ‘demise’ – to one extent or another – of the US Dollar as global currency kingpin.
2025/2026 was projected to usher in a dramatic phase of that new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War – as reinforcing 17-Year Cycles joined forces.
One of those had to do with economic recessions and the likelihood for the next phase to include Stagflation. 17 years from 2009/2010 is 2026/2027 and the time when that challenge was/is likely to emerge and impact our economy. Along with that, there were other inflation-related 17-Year Cycles.
3 – 6 month & 6 – 12-month traders and investors can be lightening up on long positions in anticipation of a 1Q ‘26 sell-off.” — March 2026 (2/27/26) INSIIDE Track
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The Nasdaq-100 is nearing its multi-month primary downside target near 23,250/NQH & 23,470/NQM. In the meantime, it has added more downside objectives near 23,500/NQM – including a ‘decline = decline’ wave symmetry when comparing the decline since Feb 25th to the preceding decline of Jan 28 – Feb 6, ’26.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes are fulfilling multi-month sell signals generated on Feb 11 – 13th and then on Feb 25th. Another spike low is still likely in late-March or early-April ’26… before a larger rebound takes hold in April ’26. The S+P is focused on pivotal support near 6419/ESM as the NQ-100 remains on target for a multi-month drop to ~23,200/NQ. The DJTA is an outlier that is giving clues surrounding a future high.
Multiple timing indicators pinpoint late-March/early-April ’26 as the most likely time for multi-month lows to take hold – with the DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100 powerfully corroborating that outlook and now attacking Major downside targets. Many tech stocks have fulfilled 17YC projections for 30 – 50% declines and are also close to multi-month bottoms. That should spur a sharp multi-week rally and could be the onset of an overall advance into July ’26. Price action needs to corroborate.
The outlook for a powerful surge in energy prices (and GSCI) in 1Q ’26 coincides with that as inflation markets continue to portend trouble in 2026, potentially stretching into 2027. That was reinforced by mid-Jan buy signals & subsequent action in Crude & the products. Unleaded Gas projects an overall advance into the week of March 30 – April 2, ’26.
What Would Late-March/Early-April Stock Cycle Lows Reveal About 2026?
How are Bullish Oil/Energy Cycles Reinforcing Outlook for Jan ’26 – April ’27?
What is DJTA Revealing About Future April ’26 Rally?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.