Stocks Prepping for Multi-Month Lows! Target ~45,000/DJIA, ~6419/ESM & ~23,200/NQ!
03-19-26 – “Stock Indices have fulfilled projections for significant declines into ~mid-March ’26 (that could ultimately stretch into early-April ’26) and are at a pivotal crossroads. The March 20th weekly close is another key factor in this overall process. To recap the past few months…
The NQ-100 led the related topping process, fulfilling a myriad of timing indicators and Cycle Progressions that pinpointed late-Oct ’25 as the time for a 3 – 6 month (or longer) peak in that index.
At the time, it fulfilled an ~8-month/33 – 36-week low (Mar ’23) – low (Oct ‘23) – high (July ‘24) – high (Feb ‘25) – (high; Oct 20 – 31, ’25) Cycle Progression that helped hone the time for a precise peak.
On a multi-year basis, that Oct ’25 peak completed the 5th consecutive ~3-year advance (since March ‘09 low) – fulfilling an intriguing series of bull market (wave timing) symmetry with successive rallies in:
- March 2009 – March 2012
- June 2012 – July 2015
- August 2015 – August 2018
- Dec 2018 – Nov 2021
- October 2022 – October 2025
On the basis of the ~8-month Cycle Progression, the ideal scenario – IF a 6 – 12-month peak was/is forming – is for that high to be followed by a 22 – 24-week decline (.618 – .667 of the cycle) – potentially stretching a 1 – 2 month bottom into April ’26.
In either case (~22-week decline, which is a .618 time retracement and sets the stage for a contrasting .618 rebound into the next phase of that ~36-week cycle… or a ~24-week decline that sets it up for a 50% time rebound into the next phase of that ~36-week cycle) – that CP focuses on mid-July ’26 as a future, very pivotal time frame.
Since its Feb 11/12th sell signal, the DJIA has been the weakest index and fallen the sharpest, reinforcing its potential to stretch this decline into early-April ’26.
It has set multi-month lows every 25 – 26 weeks since Oct ’23 and has an overlapping 52-week low-low-(low; April 3 – 10, ’26) Cycle Progression that both recur in April ’26. That is when a larger-magnitude low could take hold. The DJIA maintains a 1 – 2 month downside target near 45,000/DJIA.
TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes are fulfilling multi-month sell signals generated on Feb 11 – 13th and then on Feb 25th. Another sharp drop is still projected into late-March/early-April ’26… before a larger rebound takes hold in April ’26. The S+P is focused on pivotal support near 6419/ESM as the NQ-100 remains on target for a multi-month drop to ~23,200/NQ. The DJTA is an outlier that is giving clues surrounding a future high.
Multiple timing indicators pinpoint late-March/early-April ’26 as the most likely time for multi-month lows to take hold – with the DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100 powerfully corroborating that outlook. That should spur a sharp multi-week rally and could be the onset of an overall advance into July ’26. Price action needs to corroborate.
The outlook for a powerful surge in energy prices (and GSCI) in 1Q ’26 coincides with that as inflation markets continue to portend trouble in 2026, potentially stretching into 2027. That was reinforced by mid-Jan buy signals & subsequent action in Crude & the products. Unleaded Gas projects an overall advance into the week of March 30 – April 2, ’26.
What Would Late-March/Early-April Stock Cycle Lows Reveal About 2026?
How are Bullish Oil/Energy Cycles Reinforcing Outlook for Jan ’26 – April ’27?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.