Swiss Franc Could Corroborate Gold

Swiss Franc Could Corroborate Gold;
Dec. 2016 = Decisive Cycle Low…
2017 – 2018 Outlook Intriguing.

 

04/28/16 INSIIDE Track:          

“Election Cycles continue to demand scrutiny during what is probably the most contentious & unorthodox primary season in a generation (or longer).  While there are many important aspects to this analysis – that are front and center screaming for attention – it could be the secondary, behind-the-scenes, unintended consequences that ultimately fulfill multi-generational cycles…

Gold & Silver have fulfilled the potential for a multi-quarter (possibly multi-year) bottom after Gold reached its secondary 3–5 year downside target – and its primary downside target for the year of 2015 – at 1033–1045.0/GC.  That is where a Major bottom was considered most likely.

That low coincided with Silver fulfilling Major, multi-year cycles, wave projections & retracement levels in Dec. 2015 – and projecting an overall advance into 2018 (with a secondary/higher low expected – after a 3–6 month surge – in late-2016).

Gold & Silver provided add’l levels of decisive confirmation – to the overall outlook for 2016 – The Golden Year (and for April–June to be the next advance in this new bull market)…

…the Swiss Franc has Major cycles converging in – and bottoming during – 4Q 2016.  These actually stretch out from 3Q 2016 until 1Q 2017, but the greatest synergy of those cycles converge in 4Q 2016.

That is when an 8-year low (Oct./4Q 2000)– low (Nov/4Q 2008)–low Cycle Progression comes into play.  That 8-year cycle even dates back to Oct. 1992 – 8 years before the Oct. 2000 low – when the Swiss Franc set its penultimate high.

That cycle has broken down (in half), creating a ~4-year low (4Q ’00)–high (4Q ’04)–low (4Q ’08)–low (3Q ’12)–low (3Q/4Q ’16) Cycle Sequence.

Of course, there is also a larger-degree version of both those cycles – adding credibility to each facet & factor of it.  That is a ~16-Year low-low-low Cycle Progression that connects Major lows in 1Q 1985 (MAJOR low)–4Q 2000 and to a potential/projected low in 3Q 2016–1Q 2017.  That cycle has also spanned multi-year peaks in 4Q 1978, 2Q 1995 & 3Q 2011 (reinforcing its validity). 

Intermingling both of those sequences (low-low & high-high), the Franc saw a spike high in 1969 – 16 years before its eventual 1985 low.  So, it is actually a ~16-year high-low-low-low Cycle Progression – projecting a low for late-2016/early-2017. 

A major time retracement calculation yields the same target.  From the Oct. 2000 low to the Aug. 2011 high, the Swiss Franc rallied for 43 quarters/130 months.  A 50% ‘retracement’ in time projects a decline (from Aug./3Q 2011) into 4Q 2016–1Q 2017 (21–22 quarters down), more precisely into  Jan. 2017 (130 months up/65 months down).

Though it is very premature to be looking out this far, the Swiss Franc has maintained a consistent ~3.5 year/13–14 quarter high (4Q ‘04)–high (1Q ‘08)–high (3Q ‘11)–high (1Q ‘15) Cycle Progression that next comes into play in 3Q 2018… when the next multi-year peak is most likely. 

3Q 2018 is also one complete 7-Year Cycle from the 3Q 2011 peak (which was just shy of another 7-Year Cycle from the 4Q ‘04 peak).  3Q 2018 is also one complete 40-Year Cycle from the 3Q 1978 peak – a peak that held for over 9 years and spurred a 6+-year decline in which the Swiss Franc plummeted over 50% (dropping ~.3500/SF).

That was the largest percentage decline in the past 40 years though it was nearly matched – in duration & magnitude (though not in proportion) – when the Franc dropped .3500/SF & 6+ years from 1995 into July 2001.  And speaking of that 3Q 2001 low, 3Q 2018 is one complete 17-Year Cycle from that…

The British Pound has neutralized its 3–6 month trend but would not turn it up until a weekly close above 1.4800/BPM.  As long as that does NOT occur, the Pound could still see a drop into May/June 2016 and to 1.3500/BP. 

The Canadian Dollar has rallied sharply after fulfilling its multi-year downside price objective (spike below .7000/CD) and Major cycle lows in 1Q 2016.  .8400/CD is 12–18 month resistance & the 6–12 month upside objective.” 

Let’s connect the dots again:

1 – Gold has fulfilled projections for a Major, multi-year low in late-2015 (with Major targets converging at 1033–1045/GC).  It is fulfilling corresponding analysis for a ~6-month surge into mid-2016.

2 – Gold & Silver are projected to set a secondary low in late-2016.

3 – The Swiss Franc is projected to set a Major, multi-year low in late-2016 – ideally in Dec. 2016.

4 – Dollar cycles project a multi-year peak in late-2016/early-2017.

5 – A declining Dollar usually coincides with a Republican Administration (listed to March 2, 2016 interview on Howe Street Radio).

6 – The Swiss Franc projects an overall advance from Dec. 2016 into 3Q 2018.

7 – Gold projects an overall advance from Dec. 2015 & Dec. 2016 into 2018.

8 – The British Pound is projecting another drop into June 2016.

9 – The Canadian Dollar was projected to set a multi-year low in 1Q 2016 (see Cru-Ca-Ble Cycles discussions) and advance into 2018.

10 – Add them all up and you get a bearish period for the US Dollar, beginning in early-2017.  What does that say for the Nov. 2016 Election???