Tag: 17-Year Cycle

03-18-26 – The Rule of Alternation: Stock Market Declines II – “Over the past two decades, stock indexes have suffered repeated multi-month declines that mostly adhered to a version of Elliott’s ‘Rule of Alternation’ – in which successive ‘corrections’ do not usually follow the same corrective pattern. Most recently, the early-2020 & early-2024 declines were quick, sharp plunges that were brief. Surrounding those were the […]

03-18-26 – “Stock Indices are fulfilling the outlook for another large sell-off after peaking in lockstep with 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions that had projected – since the April ’25 low – an overall rally into a Jan/Feb ’26 peak, followed by a new sharp decline. The NQ-100 led the related topping process, fulfilling a myriad of timing indicators and Cycle Progressions that pinpointed late-Oct ’25 as the […]

03-14-26 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling the outlook for a much larger sell-off (than seen in recent months)… The weekly 21 MACs are turning down (in DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100) but need to be confirmed by weekly trends turning down.  An initial low is likely on March 16/17th, particularly if some exhaustive (‘blow-off’) selling is seen… Stock Indices fulfilled the latest phase of projected declines, […]

03-12-26 – “Stock indices fulfilled the latest phase of projected declines, with the S+P 500 testing and initially holding pivotal support at 6636 – 6650/ESM, where the Nov ’25 low and the current week’s LLS (often hit in the week after an HLS is hit) converged.  It initially bottomed at 6631.5/ESM and then bounced to its declining daily 21 Low MAC – a textbook pattern. More significant support is […]

03-11-26 – “Over the past two decades, stock indexes have suffered multiple multi-month sell-offs that have mostly adhered to a version of Elliott’s ‘Rule of Alternation’ – in which successive ‘corrections’ do not usually follow the same corrective pattern. This will be elaborated in a future INSIIDE Track, but consider how the 2015/2016 & 2011 sell-offs contrasted the 2007 – 2009 decline.  Then there was the […]

03-07-26 – “Stock indexes continue to trace out a topping phase that has been led by the NQ-100 (which peaked in late-Oct ’25).  That was/is expected to trigger a much larger sell-off (than what was seen in recent weeks) leading into mid-March ’26, which is currently unfolding.  The weekly 21 MACs are turning down (in DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100) but need to be confirmed by […]

03-04-26 – “Stock Indices fulfilled the latest phase of projected declines, with the DJIA reaching & initially holding its initial (minimum) downside target at ~47,700 as it dropped precisely to its rising weekly 21 Low MAC (47,635/DJIA) – the indicator that was being monitored for initial support. That fulfilled what was described since its Feb 11th peak & reversal lower, including in the Feb […]

02-28-26 – “Stock indexes continue to trace out a topping phase that has been led by the NQ-100 (which peaked in late-Oct ’25).  That was/is expected to trigger a much larger sell-off (than what has been seen in recent weeks) leading into mid-March ‘26.  The Middle East might be the catalyst. The S+P 500 & related indexes triggered new sell signals on the Feb […]

02-27-26 – “Stock Indices are going through a pivotal topping process that could/should see its first solid validation by mid-March ’26.  The Weekly Re-Lay just triggered a sell signal on Feb 25th – in the S+P 500 and all related indexes.  It was first detailed in the Feb 21st Weekly Re-Lay and then triggered when the S+P 500 hit 6974/ESH… 02-25-26 – “Stock Indices continue to trace out a topping phase […]

02-25-26 – “Stock Indices continue to trace out a topping phase that has been led by the NQ-100 (which peaked in late-Oct ’25) and has more recently been joined by the S+P 500 and then the DJIA.  The 1 – 2 month outlook is for a drop into March 6 – 16, ’26… they do continue to produce signs of a topping market that […]