Tag: Inflation

04-01-26 – 2026 & The Inflation Quagmire II – “Energy prices and the GSCI powerfully fulfilled expectations for 1Q ’26 while convincingly validating the outlook for Jan ’26 – April ’27.  That is when the latest inflationary stage had been forecast to unfold. The tricky part is that this is occurring while interest rates are already historically high (for this century), while the Dollar […]

03-31-26 – “Stock Indices stretched their declines into the late-March/early-April ’26 time frame – the ideal period for a 1 – 2 month low to take hold after fulfilling projections for large sell-offs following Cycle Progression highs in Jan/Feb ’26.  The weekly trends and HLS indicators focused on this week – March 30 – April 2, ’26 – as the ideal time for an intermediate low. The NQ-100 […]

03-30-26 – “Stock Indices are fulfilling the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following multi-year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26.  Both the weekly trends & weekly 21 MACs generated negative (multi-month) signals and could lead to initial multi-week lows in the current time frame. They have stretched their declines into the late-March/early-April ’26 time frame – the ideal ~2-week period for a 1 – […]

03-28-26 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following multi-year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26.  Both the weekly trends & weekly 21 MACs generated negative (multi-month) signals and could lead to initial multi-week lows in either of the next two weeks… Stock Indices have stretched their declines into the late-March/early-April ’26 time frame – the ideal ~2-week period for […]

03-27-26 – “Stock indices have stretched their declines into the late-March/early-April ’26 time frame – the ideal ~2-week period for a 1 – 2 month low to take hold after fulfilling projections for large sell-offs following Cycle Progression highs in Jan/Feb ’26. The NQ-100 led this process, peaking in late-Oct ’25 while fulfilling a myriad of timing indicators and Cycle Progressions portending a major peak  It meticulously […]

03-26-26 – “Stock indices have initially fulfilled the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26.  However, they could still see lower lows – either in late-March or early-April ’26 – in sync with corroborating indicators and cycles… The DJIA has set multi-month lows every 25 – 26 weeks since Oct ’23 and has an overlapping 52-week […]

03-25-26 – 2026 & The Inflation Quagmire – “The price of oil (gasoline) is a tax on almost every basic commodity.  It factors into production (including food & agricultural markets), distribution & shipping.  Normal swings in the price of energy are either absorbed (by the seller), hidden, or passed along outright to the consumer.  Each of those approaches has its own ramifications down the line. In […]

03-21-26 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following multi-year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26.  Both the weekly trends & weekly 21 MACs have generated negative (multi-month) signals and could see a pair of lows… before this intermediate decline is complete… Stock Indices are fulfilling the outlook for another large sell-off after peaking in lockstep with 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions that had […]

03-19-26 – “Stock Indices have fulfilled projections for significant declines into ~mid-March ’26 (that could ultimately stretch into early-April ’26) and are at a pivotal crossroads.  The March 20th weekly close is another key factor in this overall process.  To recap the past few months… The NQ-100 led the related topping process, fulfilling a myriad of timing indicators and Cycle Progressions that pinpointed late-Oct ’25 as […]

03-18-26 – The Rule of Alternation: Stock Market Declines II – “Over the past two decades, stock indexes have suffered repeated multi-month declines that mostly adhered to a version of Elliott’s ‘Rule of Alternation’ – in which successive ‘corrections’ do not usually follow the same corrective pattern. Most recently, the early-2020 & early-2024 declines were quick, sharp plunges that were brief. Surrounding those were the […]